There is very unlikely any chance an AAC program abandons the already $10m plus TV contract along with stout exit fees for a more costly proposition that won’t pay enough to offset the added debt in sufficient amounts with triple the travel.
The p12 TV markets are overall not that spectacular. San Diego - the best. Oregano State and Washed Up State don’t influence the population centers like the ducks and huskies. Fresno - it’s ok. Utard State doesn’t have much in Utah not already consumed by the B12. Boise - it’s ok but not the media darlings they once were. SheepSU is a big 2nd place kinda overshadowed by Prime Time TV.
The most likely grab will have to come from the Sun Belt or the MAC. Texas State has been the quiet one. I haven’t tried to find any scuttlebutt for the Boobcats and there really isn’t much. The Sun Belt is still on the cheaper side but has easily surpassed the CUSA and probably the MAC as well.
That leaves the pee12 trying to make a deal for the MWC to give up a team by paying the MWC off. The MWC has 9 with a big bill owed to 2 programs. IMO the MWC has to protect keeping UNLV and/or AFA to survive better off than becoming the next CUSA. Which MWC team would be expendable then? Nevada and SJSU are geographically the best but not the best in athletic department value and TV interest. Hawaii is a bigger isolated market and has stadium issues. Newbies UTEP and NIU despite their locations don’t trip the interest meter one iota. Maybe UNM, but in reality their market is not that much more spectacular than the one that encompasses a large swath of the Rocky Mountains and western plains. But, ABQ can handle all private and commercial flights potentially making it a less expensive burden. The AD’s have to consider the bottom line - how much is left to pay the expenses and have some kind of a slush fund to terminate unproductive coaches if needed.
It just seems like the P12 is down to desperation time with less than 30 days until the lawsuit trials begin and the
There is very unlikely any chance an AAC program abandons the already $10m plus TV contract along with stout exit fees for a more costly proposition that won’t pay enough to offset the added debt in sufficient amounts with triple the travel.
The p12 TV markets are overall not that spectacular. San Diego - the best. Oregano State and Washed Up State don’t influence the population centers like the ducks and huskies. Fresno - it’s ok. Utard State doesn’t have much in Utah not already consumed by the B12. Boise - it’s ok but not the media darlings they once were. SheepSU is a big 2nd place kinda overshadowed by Prime Time TV.
The most likely grab will have to come from the Sun Belt or the MAC. Texas State has been the quiet one. I haven’t tried to find any scuttlebutt for the Boobcats and there really isn’t much. The Sun Belt is still on the cheaper side but has easily surpassed the CUSA and probably the MAC as well.
That leaves the pee12 trying to make a deal for the MWC to give up a team by paying the MWC off. The MWC has 9 with a big bill owed to 2 programs. IMO the MWC has to protect keeping UNLV and/or AFA to survive better off than becoming the next CUSA. Which MWC team would be expendable then? Nevada and SJSU are geographically the best but not the best in athletic department value and TV interest. Hawaii is a bigger isolated market and has stadium issues. Newbies UTEP and NIU despite their locations don’t trip the interest meter one iota. Maybe UNM, but in reality their market is not that much more spectacular than the one that encompasses a large swath of the Rocky Mountains and western plains. But, ABQ can handle all private and commercial flights potentially making it a less expensive burden. The AD’s have to consider the bottom line - how much is left to pay the expenses and have some kind of a slush fund to terminate unproductive coaches if needed.
It just seems like the P12 is down to desperation time with less than 30 days until the lawsuit trials begin and the message from Memphis was clear - NO! Reason - CAN’T AFFORD. I believe if Memphis says publicly no the other AAC programs will be like reasoning with their decisions if pursued.
If the pee12 want ms the best TV package they pretty much need UNLV and AFA otherwise they are relying on BSU to bring the $$$.
The last 3 weeks were filled with speculation that faded fast. Then early this week the SDSU AD made claims that TV is imminent and hinted bigger than the AAC.
Let’s see, east of the Mississippi is a substantial population hence the size of the AAC TV deal. The further west you go the competition is the B12, B1O and ACC and they will be dominating the best morning to evening TV prime slots on the biggest networks. The new P12 and the MWC will be sharing the rest of the territory as the 2 premier (and only) lower tier conferences operating exclusively west of the Mississippi.
If UNLV does not receive the full buyout dollars or exit fees then doesn't that mean that they can then leave the newly constituted MWC? I thought I read that they had to receive their full share of exit fees or they could leave. So by "negotiating" a settlement the MWC is now leaving that open as a possiblity? (Nice analysis above.)