WestWYOPoke said:
ragtimejoe1 said:
WYO1016 said:
Just putting this out here: WestWYOPoke is a medical professional. I'd be willing to bet that he's way more educated on most of this stuff than any of the rest of us.
On trying to make COVID worse than the flu for kids, he's not correct. The rate of serious illness in kids as a result of covid is statistically similar to 0 and MANY other things in society pose a much greater risk than covid for kids. Imagine if we put as much focus on childhood obesity as we do them being vaccinated or wearing a mask?
The approach by liberal politicians and health professionals towards children and other lowly susceptible demographics is EXACTLY why there is a credibility issue and why we are still struggling with this disease.
Again, I don't think Covid is a risk for children. Never said that. The only thing I've disagreed with you in this thread is that flu is more dangerous for children.
The data doesn't back that up. If threat of Covid is statistically similar to 0 (as you said), then so is flu as the numbers are very similar.
That isn't correct. At this point it is splitting hairs, but the data is somewhat insufficient. First, regarding the statistically 0 part, if you look at all severe cases of COVID, the number of cases under 17 years of age is statistically 0. Obviously there are not 0 severe cases under the age of 17; they are just so few that they are statistically similar to 0.
Where you are wrong is that if you take 100 healthy children that are infected with flu and 100 healthy children that are infected with COVID, those that are infected with flu will have a numerically greater chance of having a severe adverse outcome (hospitalization or death). The data is largely too messy to differentiate statistically at this point but the rates would suggest this trend.
Where you may be correct is that if you have 500 children in area with a flu outbreak and 500 children in an area with a COVID outbreak, a greater number of children will contract COVID than the flu because current data indicates that COVID is likely more contagious than flu. Thus, there is a greater chance for more severe complications in the 500 exposed to COVID than 500 exposed to flu. Again, the data is pretty messy, but we'll likely know a lot more after this full school year.
The other area where it gets messy is with comorbidities where both viruses tend to have more severe outcomes in those groups. I haven't seen a good data set that really tips the trend one way or another in this group.
There is some data that backs up COVID is worse based on the level of contagiousness and some data backs up the claim that flu is worse based on severe outcomes in healthy children. Really, the jury is still somewhat out but my personal belief is that it will be much clearer by the end of the spring semester.
Nonetheless and back to topic, this discussion just highlights how it is marginally UNETHICAL to promote this vaccine to those under 17 and clearly UNETHICAL to require those under 17 get the vaccine.