We have a pretty solid chance at the two seed.

[calpoke25]

If we win the games we're supposed to win, we'll get into the tournament. I'd say the only game left that we're not "supposed" to win would be a championship game against SDSU. That's definitely a game that we can win, but not one that we're expected to win.

I expect Wyoming to win out and make it to the MWC Championship game. Hopefully they can win it to remove all doubt, but if they happen to lose there, we still have to get in. I don't care how your schedule shook out, if you're a member of the MWC and you get 27 wins in a season, you're going to the NCAA Tournament.

I know UNLV and UNM aren't what they usually are but its still hard for me to expect to win in those places Wyoming historically struggled mightily. I'd say there's a 50% chance we go 1-1 on the road, 25% we go 2-0 and 25% we go 0-2.

 

[stymeman]

i think we take 1 of those 2 this year, and leaning more towards the Pit, UNM is a true mess, UNLV is a glorified pick up game not much discipline there, if we take 2 then it's a true bonus

 

[wyopig]

If we win the games we're supposed to win, we'll get into the tournament. I'd say the only game left that we're not "supposed" to win would be a championship game against SDSU. That's definitely a game that we can win, but not one that we're expected to win.

I expect Wyoming to win out and make it to the MWC Championship game. Hopefully they can win it to remove all doubt, but if they happen to lose there, we still have to get in. I don't care how your schedule shook out, if you're a member of the MWC and you get 27 wins in a season, you're going to the NCAA Tournament.

I know UNLV and UNM aren't what they usually are but its still hard for me to expect to win in those places Wyoming historically struggled mightily. I'd say there's a 50% chance we go 1-1 on the road, 25% we go 2-0 and 25% we go 0-2.

I know what you're saying, but if you're trying to finish 1st or 2nd in the conference, you have to be able to beat the 7th and 8th place teams in the conference on their home floor when you're healthy. Despite their perennial home court advantages, if the home team isn't good, you have to overcome.

People keep thinking that we can't win on the road. We have a win at CSU and a win at Fresno. Those are going a LONG ways in the conference race. We're 4-3 on the road in conference play, and 2 of those losses were in our first 2 games without Nance. This veteran Wyoming squad is a good road team. They'll win in Vegas and Albuquerque.

EDIT: I'd like to add that UNLV is WAY more of a dumpster fire right now than New Mexico. They were playing way over their heads when we beat them on New Year's Eve, and they've lost some players since. They have one guy that can score, and he's going to be playing against Larry Nance. I like our chances.

 

[J-Rod]

Lunardi's latest bracketology has SDSU, Colorado State, and Boise State in. No sight of Wyoming.

http://espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/bracketology" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

 

[LanderPoke]

Lunardi's latest bracketology has SDSU, Colorado State, and Boise State in. No sight of Wyoming.

http://espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/bracketology" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

That is just looney tune bull shit

 

[McPeachy]

Lunardi's latest bracketology has SDSU, Colorado State, and Boise State in. No sight of Wyoming.

http://espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/bracketology" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

Not sure about Boise, but with CSewe's win last night, that puts them into the driver seat, with the exception being their last game against USU @ Logan. They run it, and they end up 26 & 5 regular season, with a head of steam going into the MWC.

 

[NowherePoke]

Good research. If only SJSU could have done what they did last year out of conference and we could swap Montana St., Stetson and Florida A&M for just slightly better teams that we would have beat anyways we would be a top 25 RPI team easily.

What could have been. Maybe we will get lucky and still find a way to get into the tournament anyways.

We probably would have seen a similar jump as I projected if we had played a home and home with Montana instead of Montana State. The MSU series is still the one that chaps me. Home and home with a Big Sky team dealing with severe roster issues after a coaching change? That was going to be a RPI killer no matter what.

 

[BeaverPoke]

Good research. If only SJSU could have done what they did last year out of conference and we could swap Montana St., Stetson and Florida A&M for just slightly better teams that we would have beat anyways we would be a top 25 RPI team easily.

What could have been. Maybe we will get lucky and still find a way to get into the tournament anyways.

We probably would have seen a similar jump as I projected if we had played a home and home with Montana instead of Montana State. The MSU series is still the one that chaps me. Home and home with a Big Sky team dealing with severe roster issues after a coaching change? That was going to be a RPI killer no matter what.

Montana was going through a coaching change as well. Their coach went to Oregon State in like May.

 

[NowherePoke]

Good research. If only SJSU could have done what they did last year out of conference and we could swap Montana St., Stetson and Florida A&M for just slightly better teams that we would have beat anyways we would be a top 25 RPI team easily.

What could have been. Maybe we will get lucky and still find a way to get into the tournament anyways.

We probably would have seen a similar jump as I projected if we had played a home and home with Montana instead of Montana State. The MSU series is still the one that chaps me. Home and home with a Big Sky team dealing with severe roster issues after a coaching change? That was going to be a RPI killer no matter what.

Montana was going through a coaching change as well. Their coach went to Oregon State in like May.

Very different situation though. The "severe roster issues" being the key. Tinkle accepted a move up and left behind a solid roster including a P12 transfer that was destined to be a force in the Big Sky (Bruenig). Huse was fired because, well, his team sucked. The roster left behind was pretty brutal as well with almost nobody that could score in the paint. Just a bunch of undersized perimeter shooters.

 

[BeaverPoke]

Good research. If only SJSU could have done what they did last year out of conference and we could swap Montana St., Stetson and Florida A&M for just slightly better teams that we would have beat anyways we would be a top 25 RPI team easily.

What could have been. Maybe we will get lucky and still find a way to get into the tournament anyways.

We probably would have seen a similar jump as I projected if we had played a home and home with Montana instead of Montana State. The MSU series is still the one that chaps me. Home and home with a Big Sky team dealing with severe roster issues after a coaching change? That was going to be a RPI killer no matter what.

Montana was going through a coaching change as well. Their coach went to Oregon State in like May.

Very different situation though. The "severe roster issues" being the key. Tinkle accepted a move up and left behind a solid roster including a P12 transfer that was destined to be a force in the Big Sky (Bruenig). Huse was fired because, well, his team sucked. The roster left behind was pretty brutal as well with almost nobody that could score in the paint. Just a bunch of undersized perimeter shooters.

All of this is true, I am just kind of highlighting why saying "they had a coaching change" without explaining any more than that doesn't tell the whole story.