calpoke25 said:
I don't understand why everyone seems to be so keen on avoiding UNLV in the MWC tournament. If you want to win it, you'll have to go through them eventually anyway and I'd rather play them on a Thursday/Friday when Rebel fans haven't had a chance yet to snatch up all the tickets of the losers for the final on a Saturday.
This year in particular I think WYO matches up much better against UNLV than against New Mexico. In order of preference of the Big 3 I rather play UNLV, then SDSU then UNM. I wouldn't put anything past this gritty WYO squad, but the Lobos may be the toughest matchup for this WYO team to handle.
Everyone is so keen on avoiding UNLV because they have a history of outperforming their projections in the tournament, largely because they get a true home court advantage throughout. How often has UNLV either played in the championship or even won the whole thing, although they were seeded 3rd or below?
Therefore, I disagree on timing and preference. For our purposes, it is better if we can have more true neutral-court games before we face the probable tournament-winner. (This is probably true for every bubble team in the conference.)
I also think that we match up better against SDSU on a neutral court than we do against New Mexico or UNLV on the Rebels' home court. Frankly, I do not have much confidence that we beat New Mexico simply because they beat us at our own game. In addition, their depth gives us more trouble than either SDSU or UNLV.
Finally, I think TCU beats San Diego State down in Fort Worth on Saturday. Assuming CSU beats Air Force and assuming that UNLV wins at home on their Senior Night Saturday, what does that do to the seedings?