Cowduck
Well-known member
Just look at their resume - their three top-50 wins are:
@ Stephen F. Austin 79-77
Iowa 56-44
Wichita State 70-54
UNI - 3-2 vs. RPI top 50.
Wyoming - 5-3 vs. RPI top 50.
Only one of UNI's wins was on the road. The other two were at home, and they were against teams that are good-but-not-great. I similarly think Wichita State's record is inflated. Both teams racked up big win totals against suspect competition. Don't get me wrong, UNI and WSU are good teams that took care of business against the teams on their schedule, but seriously who have they beaten? The only blemish on Wyoming's record that can't be explained by an outbreak of mono is the egg we laid in Logan, but UNI laid one themselves at Evansville. I won't sit here and say that Wyoming's hit list is filled with lots of quality wins but our win on a neutral court vs. SDSU is every bit as good as UNI's best win, at home against Iowa. And the Valley is a good league, comparable to the Mountain West most seasons, but it was seriously top heavy this year. Only WSU and UNI were ever remotely in contention for an at large bid this season, with the middle and bottom tiers of the league being populated by pretty weak teams. The top four teams in the MWC were all in the running for at large bids for much of the season, and the middle tier of the MWC I would say was stronger than the middle of the MVC pack.
Bottom line is that if we played UNI's schedule without the mono late season, we'd have 28-30 wins too. In fact, if we didn't have the mono outbreak we'd likely be sitting at at least 28 wins against our own schedule. The teams are incredibly similar statistically and stylistically. This is going to be a very even matchup and when we are healthy we have so much experience grinding out wins late in games where every possession is enormous. I really like our chances in this game and it won't shock me at all when we beat them.
@ Stephen F. Austin 79-77
Iowa 56-44
Wichita State 70-54
UNI - 3-2 vs. RPI top 50.
Wyoming - 5-3 vs. RPI top 50.
Only one of UNI's wins was on the road. The other two were at home, and they were against teams that are good-but-not-great. I similarly think Wichita State's record is inflated. Both teams racked up big win totals against suspect competition. Don't get me wrong, UNI and WSU are good teams that took care of business against the teams on their schedule, but seriously who have they beaten? The only blemish on Wyoming's record that can't be explained by an outbreak of mono is the egg we laid in Logan, but UNI laid one themselves at Evansville. I won't sit here and say that Wyoming's hit list is filled with lots of quality wins but our win on a neutral court vs. SDSU is every bit as good as UNI's best win, at home against Iowa. And the Valley is a good league, comparable to the Mountain West most seasons, but it was seriously top heavy this year. Only WSU and UNI were ever remotely in contention for an at large bid this season, with the middle and bottom tiers of the league being populated by pretty weak teams. The top four teams in the MWC were all in the running for at large bids for much of the season, and the middle tier of the MWC I would say was stronger than the middle of the MVC pack.
Bottom line is that if we played UNI's schedule without the mono late season, we'd have 28-30 wins too. In fact, if we didn't have the mono outbreak we'd likely be sitting at at least 28 wins against our own schedule. The teams are incredibly similar statistically and stylistically. This is going to be a very even matchup and when we are healthy we have so much experience grinding out wins late in games where every possession is enormous. I really like our chances in this game and it won't shock me at all when we beat them.