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Stephens: Wyoming QB Brett Smith taking a surprising risk in

DocHolliday

DocHolliday

Well-known member
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Stephens is saying what we're all thinking. I wish Brett nothing but the best, but I personally think he would have been a much better prospect in next year's draft.
 
It is an insanely tough decision for a player like Brett Smith to make. There is a lot of risk in staying for a senior season as well, see Matt Barkley (went from a lock top 10 pick to a fourth rounder). I don't think we can really fault him for making the decision he did. Brett Smith is smart and I am sure he weighed all of the positives and negatives rather than just relying on bad advice from a friend/agent.

Alvester Alexander's choice however was clearly terrible IMO. He left early to be an undrafted free agent and has made relatively peanuts in his NFL career thus far. Alexander has no college degree that I am aware of to fall back on. Should he desire to finish his degree, he will have to pay for it.
 
OrediggerPoke said:
It is an insanely tough decision for a player like Brett Smith to make. There is a lot of risk in staying for a senior season as well, see Matt Barkley (went from a lock top 10 pick to a fourth rounder). I don't think we can really fault him for making the decision he did. Brett Smith is smart and I am sure he weighed all of the positives and negatives rather than just relying on bad advice from a friend/agent.

Alvester Alexander's choice however was clearly terrible IMO. He left early to be an undrafted free agent and has made relatively peanuts in his NFL career thus far. Alexander has no college degree that I am aware of to fall back on. Should he desire to finish his degree, he will have to pay for it.
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Yeah, I'm torn on whether it was the right decision or not. Barkley is an example of a failed comeback, but look at Derek Carr for example. Projected 2nd-4th rounder in 2013 returns, and is projected to go no later than 8th overall to the Vikings.

I'm just hoping for Brett's sake he goes as high as he can. I'd be sick to my stomach if he dropped big time.
 
J-Rod said:
OrediggerPoke said:
It is an insanely tough decision for a player like Brett Smith to make. There is a lot of risk in staying for a senior season as well, see Matt Barkley (went from a lock top 10 pick to a fourth rounder). I don't think we can really fault him for making the decision he did. Brett Smith is smart and I am sure he weighed all of the positives and negatives rather than just relying on bad advice from a friend/agent.

Alvester Alexander's choice however was clearly terrible IMO. He left early to be an undrafted free agent and has made relatively peanuts in his NFL career thus far. Alexander has no college degree that I am aware of to fall back on. Should he desire to finish his degree, he will have to pay for it.
Click to expand...
Yeah, I'm torn on whether it was the right decision or not. Barkley is an example of a failed comeback, but look at Derek Carr for example. Projected 2nd-4th rounder in 2013 returns, and is projected to go no later than 8th overall to the Vikings.

I'm just hoping for Brett's sake he goes as high as he can. I'd be sick to my stomach if he dropped big time.
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I agree with you. It is a complete gamble with a lot of factors. I don't think he would have left unless the advisory board gave Brett a strong opinion that we would be taken no later than the 5th round. Therefore, Brett Smith may have erred on the side of caution by leaving (eliminating any risk of a catastrophic injury that ends his career prior to being drafted).
 
Maybe Smith would have stayed if he thought he could have a competent offensive line. What he had this year was a disastrous, porous line that kept him running for his life. What QB wants to live with that?
 
Adv8RU12 said:
Maybe Smith would have stayed if he thought he could have a competent offensive line. What he had this year was a disastrous, porous line that kept him running for his life. What QB wants to live with that?
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I'm thinking that this is the primary reason that he left. One hit could ruin his career. There's a solid chance of one of those hits happening with our current offensive line.
 
Risk-Reward. I think it probably was the best decision for him because improving his draft stock would be anything but a guarantee. If he's being projected as a 3rd or 4th rounder, I think another spectacular season would at best put him as a 2nd or 3rd rounder. He still has some drawbacks that would always prevent him from being a 1st or early 2nd round pick IMO no matter how well he plays next year 1) Concussion history 2) Skinny/durability related to number 1 3) Arm strength (good but not great) and 4) Level of competition. However if he doesn't come out, and gets hurt and misses half the year with a concussion or torn shoulder or something, he might be a 7th rounder at best. More risk than reward with coming back, assuming he is projected as going no later than the 4th.
 
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