My biggest concern is what kind of media deal the MWC is able to secure (long term) without the traitors. Specifically, what will UW’s share be from the MWC pie?
The latest rumors peg the pee12 media deal as high as $65 million a year. That would be about $7 million per team for 9 full shares. If they add more than one full share member it dilutes. Still a workable number for them if true. Anything less than $60 million starts putting them in a not as beneficial category.
The MWC was just short of $4 million per team and with the loss of the traitors it probably won’t go up much if at all. My guess is the MWC can expect $36-45 million per year at best for a $4-5 million per team payout. The more $$ obtained now the better because if the CFP expands the MWC better already have as much of the pie contractually as they can get.
What is key in this is the $7 million per team is what is needed in the pee12 to make the move financially feasible which is exactly why the MWC better not concede the exit fees the traitors wrote and voted on themselves which are $90 million. The MWC needs the number to collect at the $100+ million which would be basically no less than 69%. I would like to see a minimum of 75% collected for around a $109 million infusion. That would make the MWC original 7 fare very well. And, at a $4 million media payout (less for football only NIU??) the new members are still ahead of the MAC/CUSA.
There will be the legal fees, new member recruitment fees and some other things which will reduce the maximum distribution numbers. Hence an extra $8-9 million above the $100 million figure is a good start.
What we do know is the cost to get Texas State doubles to $10 million July 1. We already know the $145 million is being mediated and the traitors made the exit official to avoid exit fees doubling to $180 million.
Another thing to think about - why did Gonzaga go pee12? Travel - no. The real motivation is the likelihood they would continue to win in the pee12 and continue to be an NCAA tournament contender for a bigger paycheck than the WCC.
As ragtime points out - there may be nothing much in the future. All we can do is go with the here and now. IMO the MWC needs a serious collection of the exit/poaching fees to soften this round of conference shakeup.
And after the dust is settled, the only way the future could be rewarding would be winning championships. No more 6-6 Arizona Bowl appearances being considered a success.