TSpoke said:
WilyWapiti said:
calpoke25 said:
And there's never been a 25 W Mw team with this weak of a schedule. Look at teams they have left out the last few years, looks very much like a hypothetical Wyoming team that won out. They have sent a very clear message that SOS, particularly OOC SOS matters.
Running the RPI wizard.
If we win our remaining four regular season games, then beat New Mexico, Colorado State, and lose to SDSU in the MWC championship, we get:
RPI: 38
SOS: 145
I think that gets us in.
WW
Was just gonna come here with the same post. I shouldn't spend so much time playing around on that site but I can't help it. I heard the guys on KFBC talking yesterday and they said talking to officals at UW they feel like if they won 4 of their last 5(now 3 of 4) and made it to the championship they would get in. Not sure I beleive that but taking another look at the RPI wizard if we did that(lost to either UNLV or UNM) and made the chamionship or won out but lost in the Semi's our RPI would be 49-52ish. with a SOS of 145ish. We would be on the bubble there but I don't think we would end up on the right side of it.
Obviously I am on record as thinking our chances are very slim. I think we need 16 total wins between the regular season and MWCT (IOW, winning out until the title game) to get in the conversation. At that point, we would certainly be in the conversation, but hardly a lock. It would depend on a number of other factors such as how many bid-stealers there are and maybe who we play in the MWCT. We really need another Top 50 type win, so a matchup against CSU as WW projects would be ideal. Also, if we are going to have a neutral court loss to finish the season in the MWCT it needs to be to SDSU and not to someone like USU/UNLV/FSU getting hot and winning it.
I just think we need too many things to go right at this point to earn an at-large. I still like our chances of winning the MWCT better than I like our chances of earning an at-large.
One thing that the win against Nevada did though is that really put us in solid position for the NIT. Obviously I hope we make the NCAA, but at least the NIT is progress and helps to cement this season as the best since 02-03, which it clearly is.