I did as well (I even thought 10-3 was on the table), but I am still disappointed due to the following:
1. OOC SOS - the schedule turned out much weaker than I thought it would be. CU is not nearly as good as I thought they would be, and we played SMU, Cal, and NMSU all when they were missing one of their top players. That not only made those games easier but it has hurt those teams overall so they will not be as strong in terms of helping our SOS as I thought they would be. Also, the "cupcakes" on the schedule are even worse than I anticipated. Southern/Montana St/Stetson/FAMU are a combined 3-28 against D-1 competition. Brutal.
2. Regression - This team isn't playing the same as they were earlier in the year. I have speculated on other threads about the reason, but I don't really know.
3. MWC SOS - The MWC is very down this year. Weakest the league has ever been. This will not help our SOS.
Long story short, I thought before the season than an 11-2 OOC would put us in position to chase an at-large. I think there is pretty strong evidence now that is not the case. I think the Pokes would have to run away with the MWC to get an at-large and I just don't see us playing at that level right now.