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I asked Google AI if there had been any successful college football coaches who started their careers with 2 or more 8 loss seasons. Frank Beamer was the only result. Maybe AI got it wrong and there are others. But I'm not holding my breath. I say 3-9. And to those who say we have an "easy" schedule: There isn't a single opponent on our schedule that doesn't view us as a winnable game.
I have 5 wins at the most: WINS: Likelihood 65% UNC, CMU. NIU, UTEP and UConn
If we beat CSU, Then I am thinking we might be a tinge better and we get to 6 or 7 wins! CMU is a trap game--on the road and we feel like a big dog which we are not!
7 win likelihood 35% ; 6 win likelihood 45%. Maybe we beat SJSU for 6 wins--take an upset to get to 7 wins.
I also see the situatiion we are shelled at CSU and then UNC has their day in the sun or we squeak by UNC opr we lose at CMU--enroute to 2-3 win season. Likelihood 25%
My contacts are telling me that Wyoming's offense is not great. The WR room not very good?