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We are +24 at Air force

B

bladerunnr

Well-known member
At 5 dimes, the line started at 18 1/2 and has moved to 24. I took the 24. It seems the no matter where the line is set in our game, the money goes against us in a very one sided way. If I recall, these are the games Seattle Cowboy likes. I'd be interested if anyone has a system regarding big line moves. My assumption has been the betting money is usually wrong.

Any one going to the game? I usually go down but it's an 8:15 start so I'm on the fence.....
 
My very pessimistic self think this could be the surprise of the season.

I am not putting money on it though. And by surprise I mean keep it actually close.
 
Unfortunately I think that line is probably spot on. This game really sticks out after what New Mexico was able to do on the ground against us. We seem to play up a little more for Air Force, but they'll be out for blood after the last two meetings against us. I can see them going off for about 450 on the ground Saturday night. I hate saying this, but there's no reason to believe otherwise.
 
GoPokes86 said:
Unfortunately I think that line is probably spot on. This game really sticks out after what New Mexico was able to do on the ground against us. We seem to play up a little more for Air Force, but they'll be out for blood after the last two meetings against us. I can see them going off for about 450 on the ground Saturday night. I hate saying this, but there's no reason to believe otherwise.
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Though if Air Force plays like they did against Navy...
 
bladerunnr said:
At 5 dimes, the line started at 18 1/2 and has moved to 24. I took the 24. It seems the no matter where the line is set in our game, the money goes against us in a very one sided way. If I recall, these are the games Seattle Cowboy likes. I'd be interested if anyone has a system regarding big line moves. My assumption has been the betting money is usually wrong.

Any one going to the game? I usually go down but it's an 8:15 start so I'm on the fence.....
Click to expand...

Going against big line moves from the middle to later in the season work best when it moves 5 points or more. It works best on road teams that get bet hard and their is heavy public action on them like 75% or more. You can take the home underdog and cover 75% of the time in those instances. Problem is you don't see a ton of them.

I use multiple systems I have created though for betting, that is just one of them.

Good luck on your Wyoming play! Be nice if Wyoming found a way to hit the moneyline lol.
 
marcuswyo said:
We're gonna win.
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Thinking like that tempts me to make a bet on the moneyline, since we are +1400. However, reality says something else. I needed a last minute td last week for us to cover a 21 pt. spread. Outright wins seems a little far fetched right now.
 
I'm not sure if we are disciplined enough yet to slow down AF on O. I do think our O will score some points but not enough.

I might take WYO and the 24 points; I think we at least cover.
 
Games with AF always seem to be crazy games and often come down to the wire. Records dont really seem to matter. So I think we cover. I expect a close game.
 
if we can't stop other teams running games how in the hell are we gonna stop the option threat??? just don't see it...yet, but yes we cover
 
As poor as we have played, we are 2-3 against the spread this year.

+24 is a crazy line against Air Force especially considering that Wyoming beat them last year and the coaches have had two years to prepare for Air Force. Also, both Air Force and Wyoming are likely to eat a lot of clock with the run.

We won't win but I feel very comfortable that we cover.
 
OrediggerPoke said:
As poor as we have played, we are 2-3 against the spread this year.

+24 is a crazy line against Air Force especially considering that Wyoming beat them last year and the coaches have had two years to prepare for Air Force. Also, both Air Force and Wyoming are likely to eat a lot of clock with the run.

We won't win but I feel very comfortable that we cover.
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We know for a fact that they are going to run the ball down our throats and we will likely give up at least two 40+ yd scoring plays. Whether we can cover will come down to our red zone execution. Can we get that garbage time score to keep it under 24? It will be interesting to watch.
 
I would take WYO at +24. It's a rivalry. History shows it's been competitive. Who knows, the kids might find their identity this evening.
 
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