Toughest schedule???

[kansasCowboy]

I did some numbers and came to the conclusion that even though this seasons schedule was not hyped up to be one of our toughest, it has since started becoming one.
This is a full on MWC ranking based off of the opponents winning % per team. shows the opponents total record for each MWC teams schedule as of their last opponent.
1. UNLV 52-23 (.693)
2. Wyo 46-21 (.686)
3. CSU 39-26 (.600)
4. UNM 38-33 (.535)
5. HAW 32-29 (.524)
6. FSU 37-37 (.500)
7. SDS 31-44 (.413)
8. BSU 26-43 (.388)
9. AFA 25-42 (.373)
10. NEV 26-47 (.356)

I think it' clearly shows where team are able to get wins, and why others have struggled more than previously thought. Wyo clearly has shown it is better than it's record, and UNLV has as well (at times). CSU has shown that a tougher schedule and not being good ends in bad double digit losses week after week. UNM has beaten team they needed to and lost to those that were expected. SDS has taken advantage of a weak schedule, so has Boise and by far Nevada. AFA has actually surprised me with some of their more recent wins.

 

[cowboyz]

We do not have a tough schedule. When you have Texas and Boise scheduled it's not a 12 week cakewalk, but this is hardly a buzz saw we're going through. In 2010 we had a buzz saw. This is average to slightly below average at best. And maybe I'm reading your numbers wrong, but they seem to support that notion that we suck more than we do. You're showing that all the MWC teams we faced so far have played against teams with losing records, except for FSU which is at .500 exactly. And they have all defeated Wyo. That does not look good at all. If they were to have all faced winning records and beat us we could say "well sure they beat us, look at all these other good teams they beat", but instead it's "look, these guys are only beating crappy teams and they beat us as well". That pretty much puts us in the crappy teams category.

 

[alyssa]

My PS mag has Wyoming as the 91st of 124 strength of schedule before the season.
1st is ND and 124th is UTSA.

 

[kansasCowboy]

My PS mag has Wyoming as the 91st of 124 strength of schedule before the season.
1st is ND and 124th is UTSA.

All those numbers are based off of last years results, and who you have coming back. Texas has been a top 25 team with exception to the OU loss. No one in preseason expected a season like this for Toledo. and they may only be a one loss team come the end of the year. Cal Poly was 6-5 in FCS last year, They have a shot at being in the top 5 of the FCS and possibly winning out. Idaho, is the only bad team we've played so far. BSU will likely win out going 11-1, maybe 10-2 if they slip at the end with Nevada. FSU will likely be 9-3, AFA surprise 7-5, and Nevada may be anywhere from 7-5 or 8-4.
Tell me that isn't a tough schedule?
I would rather have BSU's or Nevada's schedule right now.

Texas 6-2 Top 20
Toled 8-1 After beating Cinci and more than likely winning out, they will be top 20
Cal Pol 7-1 Top 11 in FCS
Idaho 1-7 Only "bad" team we've played
Nevad 6-3 Tougher MWC team
AFA 5-3 My surprise team. I actually thought they would only have 3 wins right now
FSU 6-3 Top MWC team, Top Offensive team overall in MWC
BSU 7-1 Top 20 team, and mainly from winning a very manageable schedule...

I'm not making excuses, should we have won those close games and be sitting at 5-3 right now... Yes, but we're not. All I'm showing is the simple fact that this years schedule was a bit more sly than we thought it was.

 

[WYCowboy]

My PS mag has Wyoming as the 91st of 124 strength of schedule before the season.
1st is ND and 124th is UTSA.

All those numbers are based off of last years results, and who you have coming back. Texas has been a top 25 team with exception to the OU loss. No one in preseason expected a season like this for Toledo. and they may only be a one loss team come the end of the year. Cal Poly was 6-5 in FCS last year, They have a shot at being in the top 5 of the FCS and possibly winning out. Idaho, is the only bad team we've played so far. BSU will likely win out going 11-1, maybe 10-2 if they slip at the end with Nevada. FSU will likely be 9-3, AFA surprise 7-5, and Nevada may be anywhere from 7-5 or 8-4.
Tell me that isn't a tough schedule?
I would rather have BSU's or Nevada's schedule right now.

Texas 6-2 Top 20
Toled 8-1 After beating Cinci and more than likely winning out, they will be top 20
Cal Pol 7-1 Top 11 in FCS
Idaho 1-7 Only "bad" team we've played
Nevad 6-3 Tougher MWC team
AFA 5-3 My surprise team. I actually thought they would only have 3 wins right now
FSU 6-3 Top MWC team, Top Offensive team overall in MWC
BSU 7-1 Top 20 team, and mainly from winning a very manageable schedule...

I'm not making excuses, should we have won those close games and be sitting at 5-3 right now... Yes, but we're not. All I'm showing is the simple fact that this years schedule was a bit more sly than we thought it was.

Here are the simple facts:

1. Wyoming has a very poor Offensive Line - maybe the poorest in the MWC (have been for a number of years).
2. Wyoming has a very poor running game - may be due to the poor OL.
3. Wyoming has very likely the poorest tacklers in the MWC - no one has taught them how to get off a block or close on the ball.
4. Wyoming's linebackers & secondary have very likely the poorest pass coverage in the MWC.
5. Wyoming can not stop an outside play.

Not too hard for opposing coaches to come up with a game plan against us.