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Tomorrow's point spread winners

B

bladerunnr

Well-known member
Fellow Pokes,

I have been on fire as late. Last week, I had K-state and Michigan st. on the moneyline, and last night - a gift as Cal could not punch it in from the 1 to give Oregon a close cover.

Any thoughts on tomorrow's action? Here's what stands out: Notre Dame -14 vs. Air force,

Nevada -21 vs unlv - I think unlv has packed it in already

Stanford -30 vs Colorado - I don't think CU will win another game this year.

Finally - I went against the Pokes 2 weeks ago but I like them this week getting 11. Can we run and/or stop the run? I think so.
 
I like the AFA game the other way, AFA +14.

WYO game is also tempting, I don't think we will lose by more than 1 score if we do lose.

I agree about UNLV already packing it in but you never know and Nevada hasn;t looked terribly good this year. Chris Ault does enjoy running it up on UNLV though.

Stanford should cover, but I tend to stay away from 30+ point spreads. Too many times you get a garbage TD or two than end up blowing it when the favorite already has the 3rd stringers in.
 
calpoke25 said:
I like the AFA game the other way, AFA +14.

WYO game is also tempting, I don't think we will lose by more than 1 score if we do lose.

I agree about UNLV already packing it in but you never know and Nevada hasn;t looked terribly good this year. Chris Ault does enjoy running it up on UNLV though.

Stanford should cover, but I tend to stay away from 30+ point spreads. Too many times you get a garbage TD or two than end up blowing it when the favorite already has the 3rd stringers in.
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Just curious, do you like air farce or just have no respect for notre dame? I've been very unimpressed when I've seen air force this year.

You're right about Nevada. They haven't been terribly good. But UNlv has been even worse than I thought.

Regarding big point spreads: when the mismatch is as big as I think it is, Stanford's 2nd string is probably better than cu's first string. As Dick Vitale would say, "blowout city, Baby"!
 
bladerunnr said:
Just curious, do you like air farce or just have no respect for notre dame? I've been very unimpressed when I've seen air force this year.

You're right about Nevada. They haven't been terribly good. But UNlv has been even worse than I thought.

Regarding big point spreads: when the mismatch is as big as I think it is, Stanford's 2nd string is probably better than cu's first string. As Dick Vitale would say, "blowout city, Baby"!
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Until Notre Dame puts together a complete win against someone good, which they haven't for about 7 years, I have a tough time taking them as a 14 point favorite against anybody. They have seemed especially vulnerable at home against perceived underdogs in that time frame.
 
calpoke25 said:
Until Notre Dame puts together a complete win against someone good, which they haven't for about 7 years, I have a tough time taking them as a 14 point favorite against anybody. They have seemed especially vulnerable at home against perceived underdogs in that time frame.
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Agreed, I could see Air Force winning that one, though in the end, it'll probably be a tight game with the refs gifting ND a major missed call or something, and the Irish win out.
 
I think UNR and Stanford are safe. WY... could go one of two ways. As much as I like AF, I just dont see it (although I would love to). AF just hasnt looked great this year but I do see them covering.
 
calpoke25 said:
On the bright side, Air Force is suddenly looking VERY beatable.
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True, but lets see how tonight goes. If Utah State wins, all of a sudden it really doesn't look winnable at all.
 
calpoke25 said:
LOL hope you didn't listen to me blade
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Nope. I'm riding a hot streak. I also had k-state on the moneyline. They were a +4 at home against a so so missouri team. I put a small moneyline bet on Iowa that looks like a loser but k-state was +160 on the moneyline. That bet wasn't so small.

I still haven't bet tonights games. I'm tempted to stay away from Nevada-Unlv. However, I think I will bet Stanford. I think this BCs rating structure practically makes teams go for blowouts. A 40 pt. win helps the ratings more than a 10 pt win. I still haven't bet Wyo.-Usu yet. The line has dropped to 10 1/2. I guess I'd better get it before it goes to 10.
 
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