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I think the DC change could be a big key. When he took over the DC job at NDSU under Bohl, the scoring defense improved from 90th (28.6 ppg) to 7th (18.2 ppg). That's a pretty drastic jump in just one year.
If defense can be better than last year, we can go 10-2. If not, we can be a 6-8 win team. Regression? Well, we all know about let downs after a good season. lol