whyoh
Well-known member
You hear the arguement everytime the BSBCS gets brought up and it had never settled well with me
My problem with the BCS computers is that they give ALL bcs aq schools more credit that non aq schools
ie. Beating Wash St. is worth more than beating CSU...and we would all argue that Wash St. blows
of course we would argue that because being in tcu's conference (for now) we would have something to gain from them going to the Nat. Champ game....so in order remove the bias caused by my vested interest I went to whatifsports.com and ran game simulations between MWC schools and their respective finishers in the PAC.
first i removed USC for three reasons in this order
i needed to pit 9 schools against 9 schools so one had to go
i didn't want to take the top or bottom finisher b/c that would slant the results
since USC can't play for a Championship, they were the easiest choice
then i ran the simulations
i used neutral playing fields so the simulator wouldn't give home field advantage to either team
i put each team against their respective finishers in the opposite conference
note: i had to use the 2009 rosters for these because the 2010 rosters won't be available until after the bowl season
the results
Oregon 20.........TCU 33
Stanford 3........Utah 27
Washington 27...SDSU 40
Oregon St. 33....Air Force 16
Arizona 23........BYU 25
Arizona St. 28....CSU 24
Cal 66.............UNLV 38
UCLA 37...........New Mex 36
Wash St. 10......Wyoming 31
TBH i didn't expect the MWC to win more than three of these games...instead they won the majority of them
albeit some were pretty close games but that just pounds the point home harder, imho
weaker schedule my butt
My problem with the BCS computers is that they give ALL bcs aq schools more credit that non aq schools
ie. Beating Wash St. is worth more than beating CSU...and we would all argue that Wash St. blows
of course we would argue that because being in tcu's conference (for now) we would have something to gain from them going to the Nat. Champ game....so in order remove the bias caused by my vested interest I went to whatifsports.com and ran game simulations between MWC schools and their respective finishers in the PAC.
first i removed USC for three reasons in this order
i needed to pit 9 schools against 9 schools so one had to go
i didn't want to take the top or bottom finisher b/c that would slant the results
since USC can't play for a Championship, they were the easiest choice
then i ran the simulations
i used neutral playing fields so the simulator wouldn't give home field advantage to either team
i put each team against their respective finishers in the opposite conference
note: i had to use the 2009 rosters for these because the 2010 rosters won't be available until after the bowl season
the results
Oregon 20.........TCU 33
Stanford 3........Utah 27
Washington 27...SDSU 40
Oregon St. 33....Air Force 16
Arizona 23........BYU 25
Arizona St. 28....CSU 24
Cal 66.............UNLV 38
UCLA 37...........New Mex 36
Wash St. 10......Wyoming 31
TBH i didn't expect the MWC to win more than three of these games...instead they won the majority of them
albeit some were pretty close games but that just pounds the point home harder, imho
weaker schedule my butt
