Remaining MWC games

[PorkerPoke]

Wyoming hosts UNM. Wyoming wins they clinch home field in the championship game. Wyoming can do no worse than be the victim of the tiebreaker.

UNM at Wyoming hosts AFA. Lose both no chance. Lose one tiebreaker time. Win both hosts championship game.

AFA hosts UTEP is at UNM. Lose one no chance. Win both it’s tiebreaker time.

NDSU hosts NIU is at SJSU. Lose one no
chance. Win both it’s tiebreaker time.

UNLV is at SJSU and hosts Nevada. Lose one no chance. Win both it’s tiebreaker time.

There could be up to 5 teams that finish 6-2.

SJSU wins both home games NDSU and UNLV will drop to at least 3 losses.

AFA wins both and Wyoming wins the game will be AFA at Wyoming.

Wyoming wins and UNM beats AFA there could be a 3 way tiebreaker between UNM, UNLV and NDSU.

If Wyoming wins, UNM beats AFA and SJSU beats both NDSU and UNLV it’s Wyoming hosting UNM.

The way I read the tiebreaker rules Wyoming is likely to be the odd man out in any multi team tiebreaker. This is where it gets baffling to decipher as I am not going to spend time looking at each criteria.

Bottom line - Get the win over UNM!!!

11-15 spread is +10.5

 

[DamThatRiver22]

The only thing that assuages my nervousness over our near-meltdowns at UNLV and UTEP is the fact that UNM looks more and more beatable as time goes on, and we're set up for a fantastic home field advantage.

UH didn't help us with their fourth quarter meltdown, and UNM losing to UNLV actually did a disservice to us. Hosting would be nice, but just being in the MWCCG at all is the minimum goal and we could have clinched that last night. Unfortunately, now it's pretty much all or nothing because everything has turned into a clusterfuck. Have to beat UNM, otherwise we have to rely on some wild luck and help from some really bad teams that I don't trust to pull off upsets.

Sims is every bit as serviceable as we knew he was; again, some of the ineptitude at UNLV wasn't really on him and it was just a bad situation. Also, the trifecta of fumbles at UTEP isn't something that's super common for us and I don't expect that to repeat itself again a week later.

What really concerns me is that our defense seems to lose their handle on games late and Bohl isn't making great adjustments. UNM's QB situation is starting to crack, but we don't need to gift them a chance to right the ship.