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Predicted fresneck spread

The line (according to bet365) is Fresno -4.5. I can scarcely believe it. Not only are we an awful road team, we are even worse in California. And with our current personnel on offense, I don't see what's going to turn it around.
 
The line (according to bet365) is Fresno -4.5. I can scarcely believe it. Not only are we an awful road team, we are even worse in California. And with our current personnel on offense, I don't see what's going to turn it around.
Line actually moved toward Wyoming today. Now -4 Fresno.
 
The only reason a line moves is if there is not enough action on the game. Remember Vegas does not care how you bet, they just care that you bet.
 
The only reason a line moves is if there is not enough action on the game. Remember Vegas does not care how you bet, they just care that you bet.
Utter nonsense. The line moves due to either the volume of money coming in on a side or total, or the QUALITY (think sharp money) of money coming in. They don't change a line in a relatively low-public-interest game to spur interest. The whole point is to ideally have 50% of the money on one side, and 50% on the other. One side pays the other and the house collects its 10% vig.
 
Utter nonsense. The line moves due to either the volume of money coming in on a side or total, or the QUALITY (think sharp money) of money coming in. They don't change a line in a relatively low-public-interest game to spur interest. The whole point is to ideally have 50% of the money on one side, and 50% on the other. One side pays the other and the house collects its 10% vig.
Correct. Any movement on the line is an attempt from the books to even out the betting public.
 

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