Opposing Offenses

[ragtimejoe1]

Looking through total offense (using current for this season), last year's opponents had an average ranking of 44 compared with 62 this year and similar sd for both. 2024 opposing Os averaged 5 points (3-7 depending on ci) more, about 0.5 yd/more per play, and 4 or 5 percent better on 3rd down.

In 24, Junior tanked the D to a ranking in the 100s. He's improved it this year to 52 +/- but some of that is due to facing more really bad Os. NV and Fresno should continue that trend with sub-95 offenses (fsu just laid a bunch on bsu though). I guess I'm not sold on a juggernaut D.

 

[307bball]

Hopefully nobody is consusing this defensive unit as a juggernaut..lol. I've seen comments like "the defense did thier job" a lot, but that is more of an offensive criticism than an endorsement of the D. They are not good....I would call them "aggressively mediocre". The defensive line seems frisky, but as a whole it's pretty meh. Below .500 MWC teams don't have anything worth referring to as "juggernaut".

 

[PorkerPoke]

2024 Defense/Offense:
Wins - 393.7/435.0 (3)
Losses - 416.2/291.3 (9)

2025 Defense/Offense:
Wins - 271.5/396.5 (4)
Losses - 409.2/305.2 (5)

Differences Defense/Offense:
Defense improves 62.2 YPG in wins
Defense improves 7 YPG in losses
Offense loses 38.5 YPG in wins
Offense improves 13.9 YPG in losses

Bottom line:

Defense is average.

Offense sucks.

The offense makes the defense look even worse giving the opponent more chances and frequently.

Wyoming is a team that depends on playing a weak schedule to look better than what the program really is. Sure glad UNI and UTEP are joining. It increases the chances of getting to 6 wins if the OOC is weak.

 

[OrediggerPoke]

.

Wyoming is a team that depends on playing a weak schedule to look better than what the program really is. Sure glad UNI and UTEP are joining. It increases the chances of getting to 6 wins if the OOC is weak.

Sawvel’s dream schedule next year we play:
Colorado State, Northern Colorado, Central Michigan, UCONN, Northern Illinois, UTEP, Nevada, San Jose State, Hawaii, New Mexico, UNLV, Air Force.

Pretty sure we will be dead last in FBS in strength of schedule.

 

[Midwest Cowboy]

It's really tough to say whether the defense is exceptional or exceptionally mediocre. The offense has given ZERO reason to stay tough. The special teams has been bad. The defense to me stands out as being good while everything around them is bad (except the nachos). I just don't think it is easy to measure the impact that the offense is having on the whole team. I'd be so down mentally if I had to constantly go in after 3 and out. Damn, it must be so hard to be on that sideline as a defensive player. The offense is metastasizing.

 

[cowpoke pride]

Sawvel’s dream schedule next year we play:
Colorado State, Northern Colorado, Central Michigan, UCONN, Northern Illinois, UTEP, Nevada, San Jose State, Hawaii, New Mexico, UNLV, Air Force.

Pretty sure we will be dead last in FBS in strength of schedule.

12-0. Let's make it happen.

 

[PorkerPoke]

Sawvel’s dream schedule next year we play:
Colorado State, Northern Colorado, Central Michigan, UCONN, Northern Illinois, UTEP, Nevada, San Jose State, Hawaii, New Mexico, UNLV, Air Force.

Pretty sure we will be dead last in FBS in strength of schedule.

Using the historical values of the past 10 years, this schedule should produce a 6-6 to as high as an 8-4 record.

Given that the portal can be very giving for some of the weaker teams if they land the right mix of quality players who were overlooked because they played for a crappy team and they are 2” shorter and 10 lbs lighter than desired. You can’t fix a defense that way but sometimes these guys are hard to defend because they have the speed and athleticism to be a problem if they get into the open.

Every time Bohl recruited one guy like that the opposition knew what was coming. You have to fit guys like that in where multiple defenders have to stay with them. It’s what transformed UNM from 220 to 420 YPG in one season and they have been that way for 2 coaches in three years.

If Jovon has an understanding of dual threat QB’s along with WR difference making skills and is allowed to find multiple players to run creative pass patterns with, it will come down to passing quality. We keep the the stout RB’s and find we already have or recruit that ACS type ability QB we will have an offense with play options instead of the one dimensional mode it seems to be - Rush, rush, incomplete pass, then punt.

Wishful thinking but that’s what Peasley helped bring in 2023 when we finished 9-4.

It’s going to be the QB that is the most defining factor for the offense to be a feared weapon instead of a DC’s dream game.