The cases will eventually settle. Either after the ruling on the Motions to Dismiss or after summary judgment rulings. These cases, when the relatively weak anti-trust arguments are dispensed with, comes down to pretty straight forward contract breach and remedy questions.Part of me is worried that they will pull a CSU/UNC replay official move...where everything we can see tells us one thing but the ruling appears to be based on something else.
PAC has a great legal argument. The law does not recognize penalties for contract breach. Liquidated damage clauses have to be a reasonable forecast of actual damages to be enforceable. I have yet to see a cogent argument as to why the poaching penalties and exit fees are not payments for the identical harm. Little chance do I see the damage clauses being enforced by a court in their entireties given this set of facts - - my 2 cents based on litigating similar cases.
The legal question posed is whether the losses can be quantified to reasonably meet or exceed the combination of exit fees and poaching penalties. That’s a pretty big number. The MWC’s best argument (in my mind) is that the parties’ breach made the incentive payments to Air Force and UNLV critical in order to figure in those bonus payments as part of the MWC loss calculation and that those losses were not foreseeable at the time the exit fees were created but became foreseeable when the poaching penalty provisions were crafted.Let's assume the tv numbers being floated are true then we are receiving 3-4 mill/team/year for poaching. We lose likely revenue from playoff and ncaa tourney.
I'm sure the losses could be quantified and likely exceed poaching penalties.
The precedence on exit penalties is pretty solid. I'm betting the defectors are on the hook for most of the 85 mill.The legal question posed is whether the losses can be quantified to reasonably meet or exceed the combination of exit fees and poaching penalties. That’s a pretty big number. The MWC’s best argument (in my mind) is that the parties’ breach made the incentive payments to Air Force and UNLV critical in order to figure in those bonus payments as part of the MWC loss calculation and that those losses were not foreseeable at the time the exit fees were created but became foreseeable when the poaching penalty provisions were crafted.
It is black letter law that you cannot collect full damages from separate sources for the same harm to receive a windfall just because multiple parties might be liable. MWC has to basically prove 2 things: (1) that the combination of exit fees and poaching penalties is a reasonable estimate of actual harm; and (2) that there was some intervening event or change of circumstances which would justify the MWC to seek additional damages from a separate source for a harm that was presumably figured into the original exit fees determination (my suggestion is that the MWC ceasing to exist only became foreseeable after the PAC blew up and after the exit fees were already in place and then the need for additional penalties to mitigate this additional risk/harm).The precedence on exit penalties is pretty solid. I'm betting the defectors are on the hook for most of the 85 mill.
I think you're right that the court might view the poaching penalty as double dipping a bit too much. I'm thinking MWC gets most if not all the exit penalties and the pac poaching is around 20 to 30 mill.
It is black letter law that you cannot collect full damages from separate sources for the same harm to receive a windfall just because multiple parties might be liable. MWC has to basically prove 2 things: (1) that the combination of exit fees and poaching penalties is a reasonable estimate of actual harm; and (2) that there was some intervening event or change of circumstances which would justify the MWC to seek additional damages from a separate source for a harm that was presumably figured into the original exit fees determination (my suggestion is that the MWC ceasing to exist only became foreseeable after the PAC blew up and after the exit fees were already in place and then the need for additional penalties to mitigate this additional risk/harm).
I think the schedule shuffling cost is mostly a red herring, relative peanuts and I doubt the MWC would focus on that with attempts to recover the poaching penalties. As you indicate, the MWC was paid to play those games.I'm guessing that's exactly what they argued and that exit penalties protect against an industry standard of losing a team or a few teams. When salvaging a conference already on a shoestring budget due to extreme poaching, the cost is higher.
I think that's actually a pretty solid argument. 55 mill higher? We'll see.
A couple other thoughts. There was a clause that the pac12 and mwc would negotiate in good faith for all mwc teams to enter the pac with no poaching or exit penalties. The pac had a contractual way out of poaching fees.
What's the scheduling shuffling cost? I know they paid 14 mill or something but we also gave them what, 16 games?
That’s what I was thinking when Canzano said the tables could be turned and the pee12 is told to pay so they just appeal with “new evidence” that the MWC charged them too much to play teams like “CSU and Wyoming” (Canzano himself said CSU wasn’t worthy) and should get a triple value damages for suffering through the greed of the MWC charging $2 million per game when the opponents were only worth $500,000. ((1,500,000 x 12) x 3) = $54,000,000.PAC has a great legal argument. The law does not recognize penalties for contract breach. Liquidated damage clauses have to be a reasonable forecast of actual damages to be enforceable. I have yet to see a cogent argument as to why the poaching penalties and exit fees are not payments for the identical harm. Little chance do I see the damage clauses being enforced by a court in their entireties given this set of facts - - my 2 cents based on litigating similar cases.
Canzano thinks this red herring is a potential damages windfall for the pee12.I think the schedule shuffling cost is mostly a red herring, relative peanuts and I doubt the MWC would focus on that with attempts to recover the poaching penalties. As you indicate, the MWC was paid to play those games.
Mostly red herrings that courts will largely ignore/dispense with quickly. Outside of the anti-trust claims and defenses, these aren't that complex of cases as far as the legal issues and what evidence is relevant (i.e. how much was the MWC damaged and what would have bee a reasonable estimate of damages when the exit fees and poaching penalties were agreed to).That’s what I was thinking when Canzano said the tables could be turned and the pee12 is told to pay so they just appeal with “new evidence” that the MWC charged them too much to play teams like “CSU and Wyoming” (Canzano himself said CSU wasn’t worthy) and should get a triple value damages for suffering through the greed of the MWC charging $2 million per game when the opponents were only worth $500,000. ((1,500,000 x 12) x 3) = $54,000,000.
Based on this the judge’s decision could be the pee12 has no legal basis to reject the contract as is and the MWC collects, the pee12 and MWC get nervous call a truce and settle for an undisclosed sum or the pee12 is legally vindicated and pounds the MWC membership into financial submission in violation of the new MWC GOR releasing all GOR signees as in UNLV who they covet. The MWC will be left to rebuild the best they can.
One argument I would make is the MWC determined the value of teams and the media future in the poaching contract. The pee2 broadcast loud and clear they were forming the highest value conference that would be on the verge of competing with the B12. They acknowledge they are pursuing value and even wrote into the signed pee12 GOR’s a willingness to pay a portion (redacted) of the MWC exit fees the same traitors voted in to stopping SDSU from leaving.
There is a lot of MWC argument and this time for the pee12 it’s not pursuing assets left behind by the quitters, it’s about not paying for the cost to pursue new members from elsewhere. The issue is the P4 conferences could pay the penalties so nothing was a big financial issue for the return on investment. In this case if the pee12 has to pay the penalties the costs keep them firmly as a struggling G5.
The MWC almost got screwed by the WAC and surrounded themselves with an expensive G level wall. The pee12 still thinks they are a P level conference but they don’t have the money as they rebuild off the riches left behind with WSU a financial nightmare. They have to prevent paying as much as possible by manipulating every last legal maneuver they can. Maybe this backfires on them because the MWC was prepared. Do not forget Gloria had a background with the pee12 and knows how they have been thinking for years.
I’m thinking this may well end up with the MWC getting the low end of desired penalty income and both conferences move on. The pee12 has to destroy the MWC and taking UNLV is the prize. I think UNLV has always been the unspoken negotiating chip and it will cost the $18 million to get them for 2027 unless they win substantially reduced exit fees (under $10 million is where the pee12 needs to be financially).
The MWC either has some leverage or mistakenly thinks they do and will get nothing.
I can’t go with the pee12 winning everything.
I would put exactly no credibility in the legal advice of a sports writer with no legal training and a degree in English from Chico State. I am sure he generates listeners but he has no clue what he is talking about nor a basis to actually comprehend the legal procedure and contractual issues.Canzano thinks this red herring is a potential damages windfall for the pee12.
Also - there really is no such thing as 'new evidence' on appeal. By the rules of civil and appellate procedure, appellate review is limited to the evidence in the record from the trial court. To the extent 'new evidence' is discovered or revealed following trial court decision (unless previously unlawfully withheld), the appellate court cannot even review such new evidence.That’s what I was thinking when Canzano said the tables could be turned and the pee12 is told to pay so they just appeal with “new evidence” that the MWC charged them too much to play teams like “CSU and Wyoming” (Canzano himself said CSU wasn’t worthy) and should get a triple value damages for suffering through the greed of the MWC charging $2 million per game when the opponents were only worth $500,000. ((1,500,000 x 12) x 3) = $54,000,000.
