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Has Christmas come early? Early line CU -7

C

Cheywypoke

Well-known member
The early line is out and Wyoming is -7, -7.5 and in one instance -9. Unless I'm missing something major this has got to be the most ridiculous line Vegas has put out since they made Stanford -41 against USC a year or so again. (Stanford won that game.)
What am I missing? I honestly thought Wyoming would be a 4-6 point favorite. CU gets thumped by CSU, a team that barely beats Weber State; then CU gets drilled by Toledo who went 3-9 last year and lost big to Purdue this year. I'm definitely putting several hundred on the Pokes unless someone can explain to me what I'm missing that Vegas isn't.
 
Cheywypoke said:
The early line is out and Wyoming is -7, -7.5 and in one instance -9. Unless I'm missing something major this has got to be the most ridiculous line Vegas has put out since they made Stanford -41 against USC a year or so again. (Stanford won that game.)
What am I missing? I honestly thought Wyoming would be a 4-6 point favorite. CU gets thumped by CSU, a team that barely beats Weber State; then CU gets drilled by Toledo who went 3-9 last year and lost big to Purdue this year. I'm definitely putting several hundred on the Pokes unless someone can explain to me what I'm missing that Vegas isn't.
Click to expand...

I am with you there...I don't get it, but my bank account loves it.
 
This isn't going to be a walk in the park for Wyoming, as down as CU is. I would make them a 7 point favorite easy against Wyoming if I was a standard bookie. We are all believers in DC and the program, but until you get some noticeable results on the field, we aren't going to be favored in any of our games except UNM and maybe UNLV.
I'm not sold yet that we have the horses to go down there and roll CU, and especially not to be favored to do it, plus first road game for a lot of new guys.
If we make a couple early mistakes they could blow us out....but if we jump on them early and their fans turn on them we could just as easily blow them out.
Wyoming to win outright is a great bet though...
 
Cheywypoke said:
The early line is out and Wyoming is -7, -7.5 and in one instance -9. Unless I'm missing something major this has got to be the most ridiculous line Vegas has put out since they made Stanford -41 against USC a year or so again. (Stanford won that game.)
What am I missing? I honestly thought Wyoming would be a 4-6 point favorite. CU gets thumped by CSU, a team that barely beats Weber State; then CU gets drilled by Toledo who went 3-9 last year and lost big to Purdue this year. I'm definitely putting several hundred on the Pokes unless someone can explain to me what I'm missing that Vegas isn't.
Click to expand...

Wyoming is definitely playing better. But this has to do with timing, location etc.. They are coming off another embarrassing loss. While we are coming off a huge game. It sets up for a letdown for the Cowboys. I want to think all the colorado kids on our Roster won't let a letdown happen. This is a wheels coming off game for them. I think they may be up for it. But I hope not! If both teams play the way they've been playing. We win comfortably. Remember our offense did not score last week. This is a huge game for our fans and recruiting etc.. Not sure if Hawkins is hurt at QB for them or if they bring in the other QB who the fans want to play. Very interesting game.
 
I agree with EPS - CU has their backs against the wall and Wyoming is coming off the biggest game of any Wyoming players football life. This is a trap game, but if we come out fired up and play the whole game we can win this game. I look for Wyoming to pull out all the stops to get the win.
 
Hawkins is supposed to start again this weekend. If he does, I'd think a more realistic line would be Wyoming -7.

At this point, I'd be surprised if the Pokes don't come out on top.

Regardless, I'd like the come out with a clear cut starting QB at the end of the Buffs game.
 
I too like Wyo., but the line makes sense for a few reasons. 1) its early enough in the season that wyo. will be judged on what they did last year. The score of the Texas game doesn't reflect how well Wyo. played so they don't get credit for it. 2) CU is home. That alone is worth 7 points. However, I think there will be a strong Wyo. contingent in boulder.

Last but not least, the MWC is considered inferior to the big 12. Top to bottom, the big 12 is a stronger conference, but CU would struggle mightily in the MWC this year. So......if we can force Cody to throw a few picks and our offense can get untracked, then I see us winning outright. I just may make a big money line bet on our Pokes.

The one thing I fear is how desperate CU is. After us, they have West Virginia, Texas, and Kansas. They will be big underdogs in everyone of those games. They know if they lose to us, then 0-6 is right around the corner. We have to play with same intensity as we did against Texas.
 
I'm not so sure that I would consider this a trap game. First of all, I don't think that DC would allow it. Secondly, we have quite a few Colorado kids on the team who will be fired up for the game (case in point, I thought the Gipson bros. who are from Dallas, were highly motivated and played great against Texas). Thirdly, I think the coaching staff will have the Pokes prepared. I was impressed with the fact that the coaches noticed something on film that resulted in Luke Ruff getting to the punter twice, once for a block. Granted, that's the job of the coaching staff, however I feel confident that if there are any chinks in the CU armor the coaches will find it and be able to exploit it. Fourthly, I really think that CU is in disarray right now and if we are able to cause them some adversity early, they will not be able to respond.
CU has started slowly in both games this year, we need to take advantage of that and jump on them early. Conversly, we haven't finished well. We have to get CU down and keep them down. I'm hoping DC can get a complete game out of the Pokes this week. If he does, the game will not be in doubt.
 
Here is where the Pokes may run into trouble: Their best running back, Rodney Stewart, is expected to return for the first time this year. He is a cannon-ball built runner and is very good. Their best hands WR, Marques Simas is returning from suspension. Add to that, the Bluffs MUST win this game.
 
I'd take the under, but there is no doubt CU should be the favorite in this game. Our offense hasn't shown anything this season, and now it takes to the road. The way I see us winning this game is of our defense plays up to their full potential coupled with CU making a couple of mistakes early. If we can shut them down early, and force them to press things... we might be able to either force a turnover for a TD, or atleast a turnover which results in such great field position we manage to punch it in. If we can get a lead on them early, I can see their defense wearing down to the point where this offense can get a little bit going.

Prediciton:

Wyoming 20
Colorado 13
 
Personally, I think Weber is a better team. They have a much better QB and comparable receivers, their defense is probably better as well. I feel like we stack up well. This will be the best defense they have faced and CSU held them to 17 points on a night when they were supposed to pumped up. Granted they get Simas back, but I still think this is money in the bank!
 
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