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(FYI) Pre-Game Analysis: Boise State at Michigan State

Here's the link to the report (yet again, the report is too long to post in the forum):
http://mwcfootballanalysis.wordpress.com/category/team-boise-state/

Here's the report conclusion:

The 2012 Boise State team is VERY different than prior Boise State teams. The 2012 Boise State has less experience, depth, size, and talent than the prior highly successful Boise State teams. The 2012 Boise State team is a solid team, but is simply not a legitimate contender for the National Championship. Conversely, the 2012 Michigan State team is a legitimate contender for the National Championship. The 2012 Michigan State defense is a national superpower. The 2012 Michigan State team is simply better than the 2012 Boise State team.

This game is likely to be a very low scoring game and Michigan State should easily win. In fact, the Boise State offense may not score a touchdown unless it begins a drive around midfield or exploits an MSU defensive error to break a long touchdown play. The best hope for the BSU offense to score a touchdown is to find a way to get into the redzone and then find a way to get a defensive height mismatch against BSU “X” WR Matt Miller (6’ 3”, 215 lbs., So.) or BSU “H” WR Kirby Moore (6’ 2”, 203 lbs., Jr.) that will produce a touchdown reception.

To stay competitive, Boise State must not [1] lose a turnover, [2] surrender a big scoring play, or [3] fail to gain points in the red zone. Conversely, Michigan State can afford to do one or more of the preceding and still win.
 
everyone is so quick to anoint them conference champs this year and I'll be perfectly honest and say I see at least two conference losses on their schedule. They travel to Nevada and the travel to Wyoming. Out of conference I could see them realistically losing three games. Michigan State, BYU (although I wish both teams could lose) and they travel to the Conference USA champion Southern Miss. I could see them being an average 7 win team.
 
They are just basing previous seasons assuming that a rebuild year means nothing bad for the great BSU.
 
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