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FAU 3.5 - 4 point FAVORITE this Saturday

McPeachy

McPeachy

Well-known member
Will be interesting to see if the spread changes this week, like last.

I truly think we were flat against Ceeew because we blew our load against the Horns. Hope we didn't crank one out against the Rebels!
 
Cornpoke said:
Who has FAU played so far? I guess vegas is still pissed we beat their team...
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They lost to #23 Nebraska (who was 1 pt away from beating VT and being 4 & 0) in Lincoln 49 - 3
They lost to #29 South Carolina (who was 4 pts awaw from beating GA and being 4 & 0) in SC 38 - 16
They lost to ULM (who is probably as decent as we are) at home 27 - 25

Here is the ULM / FAU game link:

http://msn.foxsports.com/cfb/story/10130092/Louisiana-Monroe-27,-Florida-Atlantic-25

Looks like they have played a helluva lot tougher schedule that we have...maybe that is why they are favored by 3.5 & 4 points.
 
Way back when, when my dad was explaining betting and lines, etc., he told me that the home team pretty much gets 3 points every time. If that's true, doesn't that mean that Vegas thinks the game is about even, and is giving FAU 3 for home-field? I don't know if there's any truth to what I was told, but it sounded right to me.

And seriously, we're playing the Owls? What fear the must strike into the heart of an opponent. :lol:

GO POKES!
 
Betting lines are made based on what Vegas thinks the public perception will be to get as close as 50% on both sides . The spread can move up or down based on how much money comes in on a team or if a "sharp" otherwise know as a professional that has a history of winning places some money down on a team then Vegas might move the line .
Since most games do not get anywhere close to 50/50 action on a "single" game its more based on Vegas getting 50/50 action across a number of games , like the entire board on a Saturday of college games or getting 50/50 action split on the entire board of an NFL Sunday . There are plenty of games where Vegas will shade the line one way because they know the public will jump all over it when Vegas knows there is a good chance it will not go that way .
Home field advantage is NOT 3 points automatically , it can be anywhere from 1 point up to 6 points depending on the team. Each team has a different amount of points given to them for home field. Teams that are bad during a year virtually get no points for home field or maybe 1 or 2 is all. Boise State and Virginia Tech as of right now both get 6 points for home field advantage which is the most of any teams in the country . Florida Atlantic's home field advantage right now is 2.5 points .
 
seattlecowboy said:
Betting lines are made based on what Vegas thinks the public perception will be to get as close as 50% on both sides . The spread can move up or down based on how much money comes in on a team or if a "sharp" otherwise know as a professional that has a history of winning places some money down on a team then Vegas might move the line .
Since most games do not get anywhere close to 50/50 action on a "single" game its more based on Vegas getting 50/50 action across a number of games , like the entire board on a Saturday of college games or getting 50/50 action split on the entire board of an NFL Sunday . There are plenty of games where Vegas will shade the line one way because they know the public will jump all over it when Vegas knows there is a good chance it will not go that way .
Home field advantage is NOT 3 points automatically , it can be anywhere from 1 point up to 6 points depending on the team. Each team has a different amount of points given to them for home field. Teams that are bad during a year virtually get no points for home field or maybe 1 or 2 is all. Boise State and Virginia Tech as of right now both get 6 points for home field advantage which is the most of any teams in the country . Florida Atlantic's home field advantage right now is 2.5 points .
Click to expand...

Any site where you can see the home field advantage per team? I have been often told home-field is usually 3 points, but that was in the NFL where its a more even playing field. I'm sure in College Football its much more skewed.
 
seattlecowboy said:
Florida Atlantic's home field advantage right now is 2.5 points .
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Still, pretty much a wash. I think no one really knows what to expect in this game, since neither program has a lot of national prominence, so Vegas wants to keep the action at a minimum. Just my opinion.

GO POKES!
 
Wyoming should be able to win this one if they play like against UNLV. However, FAU has some really great athletes with a lot of speed, so that is always a bit scary.
 
doesn't look like there is much on the owl burrow
http://fau.rivals.com/forum.asp

There are 3 articles with the term 'wyoming' from their search. hmmm
 
calpoke25 said:
seattlecowboy said:
Betting lines are made based on what Vegas thinks the public perception will be to get as close as 50% on both sides . The spread can move up or down based on how much money comes in on a team or if a "sharp" otherwise know as a professional that has a history of winning places some money down on a team then Vegas might move the line .
Since most games do not get anywhere close to 50/50 action on a "single" game its more based on Vegas getting 50/50 action across a number of games , like the entire board on a Saturday of college games or getting 50/50 action split on the entire board of an NFL Sunday . There are plenty of games where Vegas will shade the line one way because they know the public will jump all over it when Vegas knows there is a good chance it will not go that way .
Home field advantage is NOT 3 points automatically , it can be anywhere from 1 point up to 6 points depending on the team. Each team has a different amount of points given to them for home field. Teams that are bad during a year virtually get no points for home field or maybe 1 or 2 is all. Boise State and Virginia Tech as of right now both get 6 points for home field advantage which is the most of any teams in the country . Florida Atlantic's home field advantage right now is 2.5 points .
Click to expand...

Any site where you can see the home field advantage per team? I have been often told home-field is usually 3 points, but that was in the NFL where its a more even playing field. I'm sure in College Football its much more skewed.
Click to expand...


Calpoke If you have a Phil Steele college football preview it has each teams home field advantage that Vegas uses to set lines. Those home field advantages move up and down through out the year based on how teams do . If there is a particular team you want me to give you a number on let me know and I would be happy to. I handicap games and keep track of this stuff but i do not have a spreadsheet on the computer or I would post every team for you .
Florida Atlantic has the same number they started out with before the season started because they have only played one home game and only lost by 2 points. You do not want to over compensate based off of one game and move it but if Wyoming goes down to Florida Atlantic and beats them then I would Imagine their home field advantage at this time will drop from a 2.5 down to a 2 unless Wyoming somehow blew them out then it would drop them down to about a 1.5 or 1.75.
Wyoming has a home field advantage of 3.25 if you were curious . In the MWC BYU has the biggest home field advantage as they get 5 points and TCU and Utah are next tied at 4.5 points.
You might check LVSC (the Las Vegas Sports Consultants) website and see if they have them listed . :thumb:
 
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