Conference win total forecast

[PorkerPoke]

With the remaining 8 games all MWC contests and the season record at 2-2 what is your forecast?

Here’s mine:

For sure win - Nevada

Should be wins - SJSU, CSU*

Difficult - UNLV (home game)

Extremely doubtful - all the road games

Best scenario 6-6 (contract extension )

Minimum scenario 3-9

Likely scenario 5-7

*CSU inserted a new QB who looks promising going forward.

 

[Bear Claw]

Still staying with my preseason prediction of 4 wins total. 4-8 is still looking solid after what we have seen so far.

 

[ragtimejoe1]

Nobody left is really that good. POKES should be able to snag 50% of them.

That's assuming we don't see the return of the "pack it in" mentality. Bohl did well to eliminate that. I hope it doesn't come back

 

[stymeman]

6-6 nooooo really...
That's the standard and measuring stick around here at good Ole W.Y.O

 

[307bball]

6-6 nooooo really...
That's the standard and measuring stick around here at good Ole W.Y.O

That has become a standard that we aren't really even achieving in the last 25 years at Wyoming.

Average wins/season for the last 25 years (excluding 2020 ... Covid) = 5.16 wins. That is a long time of not doing much.

 

[LanderPoke]

We’ll finish 6-6

 

[Cowboy20]

With the remaining 8 games all MWC contests and the season record at 2-2 what is your forecast?

Here’s mine:

For sure win - Nevada

Should be wins - SJSU, CSU*

Difficult - UNLV (home game)

Extremely doubtful - all the road games

Best scenario 6-6 (contract extension )

Minimum scenario 3-9

Likely scenario 5-7

*CSU inserted a new QB who looks promising going forward.

No extension, but yes, 6-6 likely.
Wins- csu, sjsu, Hawaii, AFA, and Nevada. The others are complete toss ups!

 

[OrediggerPoke]

2 wins. 4-8 on the season.

 

[TheRealUW]

I am very surprised that there are so many people that think we will get to 6 wins.

We have a below average offensive line, a terribly inaccurate QB, an underperforming wide receiver group (outside of Durr), and a head coach that is in way over his head.

I know the MWC isn’t what it used to be, but I just don’t see this group winning 4 more games.

 

[OrediggerPoke]

I am very surprised that there are so many people that think we will get to 6 wins.

We have a below average offensive line, a terribly inaccurate QB, an underperforming wide receiver group (outside of Durr), and a head coach that is in way over his head.

I know the MWC isn’t what it used to be, but I just don’t see this group winning 4 more games.

I obviously picked 4-8. But I am speculating the thinking is that the MWC is so bad that we should get a few extra wins. My thinking is that bad coaching typically finds a way to lose, even against bad teams.

 

[bladerunnr]

I am very surprised that there are so many people that think we will get to 6 wins.

We have a below average offensive line, a terribly inaccurate QB, an underperforming wide receiver group (outside of Durr), and a head coach that is in way over his head.

I know the MWC isn’t what it used to be, but I just don’t see this group winning 4 more games.

I'm going to disagree with the terribly inaccurate QB. He made some excellent throws last night. There was one terrible drop on a perfect throw. Frankly, he's at least as accurate as Peasley. His lack of mobility and pocket presence with this Oline is going to be problematic. We have one running back that looks like the real deal. I think we can get to 5 wins. Beat Nevada and eek out 2 others. Seems possible.

 

[TheRealUW]

I'm going to disagree with the terribly inaccurate QB. He made some excellent throws last night. There was one terrible drop on a perfect throw. Frankly, he's at least as accurate as Peasley. His lack of mobility and pocket presence with this Oline is going to be problematic. We have one running back that looks like the real deal. I think we can get to 5 wins. Beat Nevada and eke out 2 others. Seems possible.

I won’t deny that he had some nice throws against CU in the second half, but he also looked Svboda level bad in the first half.

Anderson is ranked around 110th nationally in completion percentage. Yes, drops have been a problem, but even if all of those are removed, he would be hard pressed to crack the top 100.

As far as your comparison to Peasley, I would ask ‘Which Peasley?’. Peasley was very inaccurate his first year with UW. He was much, much better in his second year. Anderson would need to complete passes at roughly a 70% rate over the next four games just to match Peasley’s completion percentage in 2023.