djm19 said:
I'm struggling with this game. I look at our schedule and I hate to say this is a "Must Win," but to me it is.
If we want a bowl game, we have to have this one.
Bowling Green and USU on paper look like higher probability of W's. This season watching the highlights of these teams are bringing it down to 50/50 to me. These games could easily go the opponents' way.
Agreed, both of those teams (especially USU) have outperformed UW to this point by a significant margin. We are 8.5 point dogs to BGSU and if we were playing USU right now the spread would likely be more than 2 TD's. I liked the improvement from Week 1 to Week 2 (opponent was weaker though), but it's going to take another major step to come away with the victory this week.
DC has been pretty good in these types of games in his tenure so far (@FAU and @TOL are similar games in my mind) so hopefully that continues.
We need to reach 7 wins for bowl eligibility and looking at the schedule it will be tough. Although we lost to both UNM and UNLV last year, to me those are our best opportunities for a W (both at home, both are struggling, and in UNM's case the coach will be dead man walking by that point). Then there is CSU, so that's a W (

). That puts us at 5. Where do we get two others? A lot of the other games are on the road (BGSU, USU, AFA, SDSU, BSU) and the other home games (TCU, Neb.) would seem to be a reach.
Anyway, all that just to say that you are right, we need the BGSU and USU games if we want to go bowling.