FarEastPoke
Well-known member
UNI was impressive at Georgia Tech. We were unimpressive vs an FCS team. Going into DeKalb doesn't fill me with confidence at this point...
And they were 18 point favorites against MSU. I'm thinking 33 to 17. Unfortunately not for the Pokes. Hope my crystal ball is wrong.J-Bone said:Wyo is 6.5 point favorites at the moment.
LawPoke said:I think the jury is still out on this team. NIU is the litmus test to me. The Big Sky, Valley and FCS had a fairly great weekend - in my view, we were lucky to come out with the W and need to simply move on as a 1-0 team. The emotional tie between Bohl and Vigen, the fact that we were underprepared for MSU and its scheme and the first game realities that have always plagued Wyoming (we have had to come back against FCS or lower tier FBS talent in quite a few openers through the years) all spun up to what we saw on Saturday.
Things I am concerned about:
1) our O-line is not as advertised. They are not a strength at this point. For a supposed "power" team, we looked pedestrian or worse in the run game. Even so, most of our frailty in the run game is tied to scheme and the reality that we are regularly up against 8-9 man fronts - we have to have success in the pass game for the run game to work IMHO.
2) our run defense is 'meh'. MSU was solid in the run game and kept ahead of the sticks to keep 2nd and 3rd downs manageable - averaging over 4 yards per carry. That cannot continue.
3) man to man defense on the outside is going to get us killed against better teams with better receivers. They held their own against MSU - against a better WR corps, I am worried.
4) the seam route with the TE and slot receivers killed us. Knowing the wealth of talent at TE in the MoWest, we have to figure that out.
Things I am excited about:
1) our WR and TE corps could be special if they are used properly, which could open up the run game. Bohl and Polasek have to adapt and use the pass to set up the run - that one handed grab to win the thing was pretty darn cool and Neyor could be a beast (if we don't figure out how to use him, I wouldn't be surprised to see him transfer).
2) our punter is going to be a weapon for us. The kid is good and will play a big role this year for a team that relies on field position to win.
3) Chambers and the 4th quarter showed what is possible - Bohl and Polasek have to mimic that play calling going forward - but starting in the first quarter
4) our secondary. Despite being a bit of a concern in 1-1 matchups, I did think that our DBs played pretty well. Losing a key member of the secondary to targeting put them on more of an island and they held up. My fear is that against better teams, we could get dinged up.
We are 1-0. We have a challenge coming in NIU and our first true measuring stick for the season. I am nervous but cautiously optimistic.
seattlecowboy said:Actually with the line coming out with Wyoming favored by -7 Wyoming will cover.
You will probably get a lot of the public betting on Northern Illinois because they will look at scores from last week and think the line is too good to be true for Northern Illinois and then Wyoming will end up handling them.
Mark this post. Been wagering on sports a long time. Everyone over reacts to the first weeks games and the books usually win the 2nd week.
Not only that but Northern Illinois probably shot their wad last week with a big road win for them. They might have an emotional let down this week and be flat.
Just my opinion.
Was going to say this. It's a rare occurrence for us to win road games.bladerunnr said:seattlecowboy said:Actually with the line coming out with Wyoming favored by -7 Wyoming will cover.
You will probably get a lot of the public betting on Northern Illinois because they will look at scores from last week and think the line is too good to be true for Northern Illinois and then Wyoming will end up handling them.
Mark this post. Been wagering on sports a long time. Everyone over reacts to the first weeks games and the books usually win the 2nd week.
Not only that but Northern Illinois probably shot their wad last week with a big road win for them. They might have an emotional let down this week and be flat.
Just my opinion.
I understand the thought process. I agree that over reaction is what makes the sports books rich. However, if you look at our OOC road record under Bohl, there is no way you can lay the points in this game. Not that I bet anymore. I would have taken csewe in their home opener!
bladerunnr said:seattlecowboy said:Actually with the line coming out with Wyoming favored by -7 Wyoming will cover.
You will probably get a lot of the public betting on Northern Illinois because they will look at scores from last week and think the line is too good to be true for Northern Illinois and then Wyoming will end up handling them.
Mark this post. Been wagering on sports a long time. Everyone over reacts to the first weeks games and the books usually win the 2nd week.
Not only that but Northern Illinois probably shot their wad last week with a big road win for them. They might have an emotional let down this week and be flat.
Just my opinion.
I understand the thought process. I agree that over reaction is what makes the sports books rich. However, if you look at our OOC road record under Bohl, there is no way you can lay the points in this game. Not that I bet anymore. I would have taken csewe in their home opener!
This adds context to the confusing (to me) line. ThanksTrackPoke said:NIU did not win, Georgia Tech lost.
1.) Georgia Tech's starting QB left the game with an arm injury.
2.) GT missed three FGs, two in the first half.
3.) GT had 128 more total yards than NIU (20 passing and 108 rushing).
4.) GT lost a fumble on a 1st and 10, giving NIU the ball on the 43. (note: NIU also lost a fumble on their own 25).
5.) During their first possession, GT had an incomplete pass on 4th and 3 instead of punting.
6.) GT had an incomplete pass on 4th and goal instead of settling for a FG.
7.) GT had 25 first downs vs NIU's 15
8.) NIU had 11 penalties for 82 yards vs GT's 2 for 5 yards.
GT wins this game 9 out of 10 times. NIU plays Michigan the week after they play Wyoming. Maybe the confidence they gained has them looking past us.
Yo Cowboys, Huskie fan here. Expecting a good game. The line probably has more to do with our record from last year than week 1. I won’t get into why going 0-6 is misleading but pretty much nobody believes in NIU this year except those closest to the program.seattlecowboy said:Actually with the line coming out with Wyoming favored by -7 Wyoming will cover.
You will probably get a lot of the public betting on Northern Illinois because they will look at scores from last week and think the line is too good to be true for Northern Illinois and then Wyoming will end up handling them.
Mark this post. Been wagering on sports a long time. Everyone over reacts to the first weeks games and the books usually win the 2nd week.
Not only that but Northern Illinois probably shot their wad last week with a big road win for them. They might have an emotional let down this week and be flat.
Just my opinion.
TrackPoke said:NIU did not win, Georgia Tech lost.
1.) Georgia Tech's starting QB left the game with an arm injury.
2.) GT missed three FGs, two in the first half.
3.) GT had 128 more total yards than NIU (20 passing and 108 rushing).
4.) GT lost a fumble on a 1st and 10, giving NIU the ball on the 43. (note: NIU also lost a fumble on their own 25).
5.) During their first possession, GT had an incomplete pass on 4th and 3 instead of punting.
6.) GT had an incomplete pass on 4th and goal instead of settling for a FG.
7.) GT had 25 first downs vs NIU's 15
8.) NIU had 11 penalties for 82 yards vs GT's 2 for 5 yards.
GT wins this game 9 out of 10 times. NIU plays Michigan the week after they play Wyoming. Maybe the confidence they gained has them looking past us.
TrackPoke said:NIU did not win, Georgia Tech lost.
1.) Georgia Tech's starting QB left the game with an arm injury. (Huskie73) He couldn't hit the side of a barn and was down 14-0 when he left. The back-up came in and was far more effective. Our entire gameplan was to stop the run for the hurt QB and we were not prepared for the back-up who was a superior thrower.
2.) GT missed three FGs, two in the first half. (Huskie73) One of the FGs was 61 yds on the last play of the game. 2 missed FGs legitimate unable to execute.
3.) GT had 128 more total yards than NIU (20 passing and 108 rushing). (Huskie73) NIU had the lead the entire game until 6 minutes remaining. The goal is to score more points than the opponent, not gain the most yards or score the most points possible. NIUs offense went very conservative for over 2 quarters until the last drive of the game when they needed to score.-
4.) GT lost a fumble on a 1st and 10, giving NIU the ball on the 43. (note: NIU also lost a fumble on their own 25). (Huskie73) 1 fumble lost each, GT got the yardage benefit.
5.) During their first possession, GT had an incomplete pass on 4th and 3 instead of punting. (Huskie73) Yeah, it's called good defense.
6.) GT had an incomplete pass on 4th and goal instead of settling for a FG. (Huskie73) Again, bend don't break worked. Their QB was rushed and the play failed.
7.) GT had 25 first downs vs NIU's 15 (Huskie73) See #3. Also, GT's defense was extremely athletic and played well for the most part.
8.) NIU had 11 penalties for 82 yards vs GT's 2 for 5 yards. (Huskies73) Refs had a couple phantom calls to return a scoop 6 for NIU and a fumbled punt that NIU recovered inside GTs 20 so 14 points taken away for a bogus procedural call and a review that could have gone either way.
GT wins this game 9 out of 10 times. NIU plays Michigan the week after they play Wyoming. Maybe the confidence they gained has them looking past us.