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Anti-trust settlement

Everything I've read said the revenue sharing can be disproportionate by sport as long as the funding formula is equal (i.e. can base on attendance, tv, or? ). I don't doubt that title ix suits will pop up.

However, you can't categorize the revenue sharing yet because that is yet to be seen. Maybe it is an equal split of roughly 22 mill but that's certainly not planned or settled.
Lot's still to shake out for sure.
 
**Edit-these categories are my attempt to break this down into coherent categories...probably lot's of exceptions**

I think the categories are going to break down as follows...Most college athletes will fit into the bottom two categories:

Athletes getting paid (large effect on recruiting/retention of talent, Professional Model):
  • Pretty much every FB player at a Big10 or SEC school
  • Pretty much every MBB player at a Big10 or SEC school
  • Pretty much every MBB and FB player at select schools
    • Gonzaga MBB
    • Notre Dame FB
    • BYU (surprising amounts of money with these guys)
    • Other ....
  • Select high end WBB players/programs
    • UCONN
    • South Carolina
    • LSU
    • Other
  • Select NIL "celebrities"
    • Livvy Dunne (gymnastics)
    • Cavinder Twins
    • Shedur Sanders
    • Ashton Jeanty
    • etc
  • A generational talent at a big school...maybe a wrestler at Iowa or Penn St or a VB player at Nebraska.
Athletes as Employees (Medium effect on recruiting/retention...still a lot of money):
  • This group is getting whatever the going rate is at their school's collective plus whatever the split of the 20 million that is allowed to be paid by the school itself.
  • Pretty much all of the non-skill guys at FB programs like Virginia or Oklahoma St.
  • Lot's of WBB players at B10 and SEC Schools
  • Lot's of Olympic athletes at B10 and SEC Schools
Athletes at schools that are kidding themselves and the very low end of the big school athletes:
  • Probably a very large group...
  • Typically at schools have small to insignificant NIL opportunities to offer recruits.
  • These schools will struggle or be unable to pay out the 20 million to their athletes.
  • Some Olympic athletes at big schools and pretty much all Olympic athletes outside of the Big 10 and SEC.
True Student-Athletes (getting a schollie and that's about it):
  • The Ivy Leagues
  • The Vast Majority of FCS (maybe all of it?...I don't know the rules)
  • Most athletes at Schools like Wyoming.
If you are in the bottom two categories and have a path to being in one of the top two categories...I think 99% of athletes will take that chance. I would say 100%, but I think there are a handful of gifted athletes at the Ivy's that will stay even if they get an offer....that being said....not many will ever be good enough to even have the option.

Small point, but Ivies don't give scholarships (academic or athletic). So those athletes are actually at a class of their own at the very very bottom.

Some former student athletes tried to file a class action on this subject, but they were dismissed in court. https://www.sportico.com/law/analysis/2024/ivy-league-defeats-antitrust-lawsuit-1234800773/
 
Small point, but Ivies don't give scholarships (academic or athletic). So those athletes are actually at a class of their own at the very very bottom.

Some former student athletes tried to file a class action on this subject, but they were dismissed in court. https://www.sportico.com/law/analysis/2024/ivy-league-defeats-antitrust-lawsuit-1234800773/
Yes...this was just my attempt to create some meaningful tiers. Basically the top two are characterized by a lot more money floating around than the bottom two. I know that lots of details are still to be determined but that looks roughly how I think it will shake out. This system coupled with very loose transfer restrictions means that if you are on the bottom...there is no way of rising through competitive excellence.
 

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