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-28!!! at the Book

Take Wyoming and the points. -28 is being nice to the Vandals. Only way its that close is if Smith and co. get benched in the early 3rd quarter.
 
I'm not so sure Wyoming will cover that spread this week. You have to remember as bad as Idaho is that Wyoming put a lot of emotion and effort into that Nebraska game so they could come out a little flat in the first half and not get it going until the 2nd half.

Most weeks Wyoming would probably cover that spread but I'm not so sure they will this week. Another thing that would scare me off of taking Wyoming is that everyone and their dog is taking Wyoming to cover against Idaho this week on the sports gambling boards I visit and whenever I see that it doesn't go too well. Usually the other team covers.

My guess is Wyoming ends up winning by about 21 to 24 points and not covering the spread. I could be wrong and they just come out and win 56-3 but Vegas and offshore books aren't into giving out free money and usually if a spread looks to good to be true then it is.

I wouldn't put my money on Wyoming this week to cover -28 points. Sure they will win and win by multiple scores but good chance it ends up being by less than 28 points. As a side note I wouldn't bet Idaho either because they are bad enough that they could get creamed. I would just stay away from this game.

Another spread that people think looks easy is Arizona -10.5 against UNLV. Don't be surprised if UNLV plays Arizona tough. That UNLV / Minnesota score was very misleading with the way the game played out. I actually like UNLV to cover that.
 
Seattlecowboy, I have a feeling Rich Rod and that Arizona offense is going to be up by 10 by the end of the first quarter over UNLV, if not 20.

UNLV just can not match up with Arizona.
 
BeaverPoke said:
Seattlecowboy, I have a feeling Rich Rod and that Arizona offense is going to be up by 10 by the end of the first quarter over UNLV, if not 20.

UNLV just can not match up with ANYONE.
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FIFY. UNLV sucks. Shameful we don't have them and the Asstechs on the schedule this year.
 
I wouldn't touch that spread. While Idaho is not very good and our defense has shown improvement....we still gave up over 500 yards of total offense including 375 yards on the ground.

I don't think the game will be too close with Idaho, but 28 points??? Off the top of my head, the last time we beat an FBS school by that much was before Brett Smith (44-0!). And when did we beat any FBS school by more than 28 prior to the 44-0 Wyo vs. CSU game?
 
OrediggerPoke said:
I wouldn't touch that spread. While Idaho is not very good and our defense has shown improvement....we still gave up over 500 yards of total offense including 375 yards on the ground.

I don't think the game will be too close with Idaho, but 28 points??? Off the top of my head, the last time we beat an FBS school by that much was before Brett Smith (44-0!). And when did we beat any FBS school by more than 28 prior to the 44-0 Wyo vs. CSU game?
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Good point. I am not a gambler so I don't really have to worry about it, but although I think Wyoming should blow them out by 40, until they beat a school that bad, I won't be totally convinced they will do it.
 
BeaverPoke said:
Seattlecowboy, I have a feeling Rich Rod and that Arizona offense is going to be up by 10 by the end of the first quarter over UNLV, if not 20.

UNLV just can not match up with Arizona.
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Beav,

You may be right about the Arizona and UNLV game but I do think it will be closer than most think. If you watched the Minnesota and UNLV game UNLV wasn't as bad as everyone thinks they are by looking at the final score.

When they came out of the half they were only down 3 points and had out gained Minnesota in yards. They had some misfortune. First the 2nd half kickoff got returned for a TD and then UNLV was driving to score and set up to try a field goal and that got blocked and returned for a td and then UNLV was driving again for what looked like a td and Minnesota picked off a pass and returned it about 75 yards for a td.

So at minimum UNLV lost out on 6 points and gave Minnesota 21 points just on those 3 plays. That's a 27 point swing and UNLV ended up losing by 28. But who knows maybe Minnesota will suck this year and that means UNLV will suck but you can't tell by a first game. I say UNLV at home covers the +10.5. :thumb: If i'm right I will bump this thread and if I'm wrong then you can bump it! lol
 
seattlecowboy said:
BeaverPoke said:
Seattlecowboy, I have a feeling Rich Rod and that Arizona offense is going to be up by 10 by the end of the first quarter over UNLV, if not 20.

UNLV just can not match up with Arizona.
Click to expand...

Beav,

You may be right about the Arizona and UNLV game but I do think it will be closer than most think. If you watched the Minnesota and UNLV game UNLV wasn't as bad as everyone thinks they are by looking at the final score.

When they came out of the half they were only down 3 points and had out gained Minnesota in yards. They had some misfortune. First the 2nd half kickoff got returned for a TD and then UNLV was driving to score and set up to try a field goal and that got blocked and returned for a td and then UNLV was driving again for what looked like a td and Minnesota picked off a pass and returned it about 75 yards for a td.

So at minimum UNLV lost out on 6 points and gave Minnesota 21 points just on those 3 plays. That's a 27 point swing and UNLV ended up losing by 28. But who knows maybe Minnesota will suck this year and that means UNLV will suck but you can't tell by a first game. I say UNLV at home covers the +10.5. :thumb: If i'm right I will bump this thread and if I'm wrong then you can bump it! lol
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Lol fair enough! haha.
 
seattlecowboy said:
I wouldn't put my money on Wyoming this week to cover -28 points. Sure they will win and win by multiple scores but good chance it ends up being by less than 28 points. As a side note I wouldn't bet Idaho either because they are bad enough that they could get creamed. I would just stay away from this game.
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Absolutely. I don't think there's much doubt on Wyoming winning, but covering almost four touchdowns is a stretch. Hopefully they do though.

seattlecowboy, how'd you do this weekend? Who're you looking at this weekend? ML's are coming down this week and as of today, I like Tennessee (-530) and Tulane (-260). Spreads I'm eyeing are Buffalo (+27.5) and Toledo (+17).
 
Buncha degenerates in this thread..

You guys should check out Kegs N Eggs blog.. he's a degenerate gambler too and does a weekly blog (I think) on point spreads, etc.
 
MrTitleist said:
Buncha degenerates in this thread..

You guys should check out Kegs N Eggs blog.. he's a degenerate gambler too and does a weekly blog (I think) on point spreads, etc.
Click to expand...
I happened to see a little of that Vandals game....I'm sorry, but if North Texas can gash UI for 40 points and hold them to 6, I can't see why Wyoming wouldn't. Again, I say take Wyoming and the points.
 
Hi, my name is Wyovanian, and I'm a (winning) degenerate.

To be perfectly honest, at this point there's not much I like at all this week, Vandals @ 'Pokes -28 included. I'd hold off betting a side here, as this game, next to the Nebraska game, should give us a pretty clear picture of this team's propensities. Wyoming has a notorious history of playing down to lesser teams and up to better ones. Christensen is also notorious for mercy play. Plenty of opps going forward to bet for or against the 'Pokes after this week.

I'm waiting to see some numbers shift with public money on big games, and for some totals to come out. Nothing really jumps out right now. I'll be watching to see if USU gets bet up over 10 for sure...
 
Wyovanian said:
I'm waiting to see some numbers shift with public money on big games, and for some totals to come out. Nothing really jumps out right now. I'll be watching to see if USU gets bet up over 10 for sure...
Click to expand...

Cincinnati-Illinois has moved quite a bit.
 
OrediggerPoke said:
I wouldn't touch that spread. While Idaho is not very good and our defense has shown improvement....we still gave up over 500 yards of total offense including 375 yards on the ground.

I don't think the game will be too close with Idaho, but 28 points??? Off the top of my head, the last time we beat an FBS school by that much was before Brett Smith (44-0!). And when did we beat any FBS school by more than 28 prior to the 44-0 Wyo vs. CSU game?
Click to expand...

UNLV in 2011 was a 27 point win, so close. Other than that you have to go back to USU in 2006 (31 point win). So, yeah, not very common. Obviously we haven't been that good and Glenn's teams never had the type of offense to put up big numbers. Most of their dominating performances (CSU 24-0, SDSU 35-10, Utah 31-15, UVA 23-3, etc.) were on the defensive side of the ball.

I agree with many on here that I don't expect the Pokes to cover. I see a close half-time score (17-14 or so) with Idaho making a couple of key mistakes in the second half as we pull away. Maybe a 38-21 type final.
 
OrediggerPoke said:
I wouldn't touch that spread. While Idaho is not very good and our defense has shown improvement....we still gave up over 500 yards of total offense including 375 yards on the ground.

I don't think the game will be too close with Idaho, but 28 points??? Off the top of my head, the last time we beat an FBS school by that much was before Brett Smith (44-0!). And when did we beat any FBS school by more than 28 prior to the 44-0 Wyo vs. CSU game?
Click to expand...
not a gambler but i will say that the 2011 texas state team could very well be more of an FBS team than the 2013 vandals



of course this season is way young to tell.......hell we could fall flat and idaho could get their shit together by november

also the 2011 unlv game was 27 pts
 
hithere said:
Wyovanian said:
I'm waiting to see some numbers shift with public money on big games, and for some totals to come out. Nothing really jumps out right now. I'll be watching to see if USU gets bet up over 10 for sure...
Click to expand...

Cincinnati-Illinois has moved quite a bit.
Click to expand...
Been waiting to see if that gets down to a push proposition (-7), which makes it a much safer bet. Personally, I think Cincinnati's going to blow the Illini out, but why lose when you can tie. Over 54 looks good too.

Another over that looks enticing is SDSU/ tOSU over 54.5.

Nebraska's down to -28.5 against So. Miss. People are interpreting Wyo's offense as a bad Nebraska defense. 'Huskers should win that one by 35 at least. So. Mississippi is the worst team in the FBS.

Western Kentucky/ Tennessee should go under 56.5 (and I don't like betting unders).

K-State, like Nebraska, is being evaluated incorrectly against NDSU. It wasn't K-State's lack of talent, it was NDSU's combo of talent and motivation. K-State is going to air it out against the Ragin' Cajuns. I'll give up 10 to LA-Lafayette.

Thinking Oregon State's going to make a statment and an example out of Hawaii. Have them winning by 31.

Wazzou matches up well to USC, 15.5's too much, take the Cougars and the points. A money-line bet might be worth a look around +700 to +750.

SJSU/ Stanford over 48.5.

Weber State/ Utah on money-line upset watch (should be around +1900 to +2000)

Those are the ones on my radar so far. I'll narrow it down to two or three by Friday...
 
seattlecowboy said:
My plays for today:

Miami (Fla) +3 Think they win.
Nebraska -27.5
S. Carolina +3.5
Virginia +23
UNLV +10.5
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Ducks won by 49.
Never pick against the Ducks unless they are playing Stanford or in a BCS Bowl.
 
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