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2026 MBB Transfer Portal Tracker
- Thread starter Bryoming
- Start date
PorkerPoke
Well-known member
Thanks for that link. I try to find various sources and go with the most consistent data I can find. Most sites are quick with P4 transfers but the other 300 D1 programs are a mixture of 1-2 days behind with some speculative data. That is where I noticed the 500+ to 800+ jump in D1 from 4-7 to 4-8 with that number probably 300-500 behind the real number for D1 only.
Nevada Sportsnet does as well, I'm keeping my eyes open for an official statement from him that he's in but it's a pretty good chance.
Tracking Mountain West basketball's transfer portal comings and goings in 2026 offseason
It's transfer portal season in college basketball, so we'll track the comings and goings of Mountain West players related to the portal this offseason on this p
nevadasportsnet.com
Bryoming
Well-known member
Sure thing! I get on X and instagram twice a day to find out who is announcing they are in the portal. Been refining it over the past 3 seasons, and have got it in a pretty reliable cadence.
PorkerPoke
Well-known member
Today (4-9) is the last day of the quiet period with official visits permitted starting 4-10 until 4-30.
The make the roster time is nigh. The portal numbers continue to grow and there are numerous players available at every position.
I trust Sunny to find players and not just warm bodies.
The make the roster time is nigh. The portal numbers continue to grow and there are numerous players available at every position.
I trust Sunny to find players and not just warm bodies.
PorkerPoke
Well-known member
Someone like Jeff should also put out a graphic of the numbers of programs that realistically can pay even 10% of those numbers.
It’s definitely a trickle down recruiting effect with a lot of competition to get as many dollars as possible when the market actually doesn’t support the funding depth the transfer prospects are hoping to obtain.
Let’s say of the 351 teams the pay rate goes like this:
1-20 teams can pay the unlimited recruitment
21-70 teams can pay more than most
71-125 teams can pay for the best 2nd choice
126-200 teams can pay the best 3rd choice
201-351 teams do what they can hoping for a diamond to emerge
Where do the Pokes fall on a hypothetical chart like this? I would guess in competition for the best of the 3rd choice players along with hoping for the diamond to emerge.
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springs_poke
Well-known member
That's where Sundance comes in. He can reach higher than that, and sometimes get one that very few could get to UW.
PorkerPoke
Well-known member
Exactly!
The math:
351 D1 teams roster limit 15 = 5,265
Using the 1,850 number (more have been added today) means the average team will start with a base of 9.73 players needing 5.27 players. The 5.27 players needed will be a mix of HS, JC and D1 transfer players.
Jeff Goodman leaves out the number of HS recruits already signed for 2026-27. What is that number Jeff?
Let’s say the number of HS, JC or D2,D3,NAIA players signed will be equal to the no longer eligible minimum of 1,300. That would be 3.70 players per team. 3.70 plus 9.73 is 13.43 or the average D1 team needing 1-2 transfers. Somehow that number doesn’t seem to add up if the average number of transfers per team is 5.27.
The NAIA, D3,D2, JC and HS numbers are relatively ignored with most of those players recruited being in the minimum wage category anyway.
The main definition of this can be explained as the brunt of D1 players in the transfer portal are looking to trade teams with the desire to get more $$$. There will be those that get more, those that get about the same, those that get less and those that don’t get anything. There will always be a number of non-D1 players that have more ability than some previous D1 recruits.
Crunch the numbers anyway you want but the number of really premium players dwindles as the number of teams compete for the best talent. Programs like Wyoming benefit the most by having an excellent “general manager” that can play “Billy Ball” identifying talent who desires to play. Wyoming will always be vulnerable to the free agent aspect where it is difficult to retain the obvious premium talent should we obtain it in the first place.
I would really like to see somebody follow an entire freshman class of players for 6 years or so and then compare collegiate salaries, graduation rates, and initial post-collegiate salaries based on number of transfers during their collegiate career.
I think it would be quite interesting.
I think it would be quite interesting.
