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Gameday

It's about time.

We finally find out tonight what Sawvel and the Pokes are made of. Can't hide behind words anymore. Sawvel's career is on the line in this game and season. He either figures it out now, or he likely doesn't get another chance.
 
TheRealUW said:
It's about time.

We finally find out tonight what Sawvel and the Pokes are made of. Can't hide behind words anymore. Sawvel's career is on the line in this game and season. He either figures it out now, or he likely doesn't get another chance.
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I wish that this was true. Considering his buyout, contract, and the disposition of our AD, I'm not so sure.
 
LawPoke said:
I wish that this was true. Considering his buyout, contract, and the disposition of our AD, I'm not so sure.
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Should have been more clear. He might get another year at UW, but unless he were to somehow win the national championship next year, it won't change his career course. If he fails this year, whenever UW decides to can him, there won't be many other college football opportunities for him.
 
I was listening to the Cody Tucker podcast yesterday. He is of the opinion that this team is going to be much better than last year. If you listen to Kevin McKinney and Ryan Thorburn, this offense is going to be the second coming of the greatest show on turf.
I've also been listening to other sources that are not so local. I've never heard 2 more disparate views on a football team. The line on this game (on bet 365) has gone from 7.5 to 5.5. The national view of Wyoming is this is a program in decline. The talent on this team is the worst in the MWC except for New Mexico.
I don't think one game determines a season. But it will be fascinating to see how we look against a weak member of a weak conference.
 
Yes. This first game may very well set the tone for the rest of the season. I think the Cowboys will win. I will not be surprised if it’s a very close game. GO POKES!!!!
 
Unfortunately cannot get the ASU game last year out of my head. Nothing to do with the talent gap but more that it looked like we simply were not ready. Only reason we win is that it's Akron.

Pokes 27-24
 
LawPoke said:
I wish that this was true. Considering his buyout, contract, and the disposition of our AD, I'm not so sure.
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Exactly, if he wins ANY games this year he will be back. UW isn't in any position to pay the buyout. They could have structured the contract so much differently to put pressure on him in year one and two, but UW / Burman don't think like that.
 
bladerunnr said:
I was listening to the Cody Tucker podcast yesterday. He is of the opinion that this team is going to be much better than last year. If you listen to Kevin McKinney and Ryan Thorburn, this offense is going to be the second coming of the greatest show on turf.
I've also been listening to other sources that are not so local. I've never heard 2 more disparate views on a football team. The line on this game (on bet 365) has gone from 7.5 to 5.5. The national view of Wyoming is this is a program in decline. The talent on this team is the worst in the MWC except for New Mexico.
I don't think one game determines a season. But it will be fascinating to see how we look against a weak member of a weak conference.
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Cody, Ryan, and Kevin are great at what they do, but they all tend to overvalue the talent. Probably helps them generate more revenue. I trust the Vegas oddsmakers the most. They have us winning 5.5 games this year. I don’t think I would take the over. I so hope I am wrong!
 
I'm thinking that this Pokes team is going to be very competitive and surprise many on the plus side. Go Pokes! I am so looking forward to tonight's game, and to next week and seeing the team and stadium improvements in person.
 
I just noticed on the bottom of ESPN’s scroll. They have Akron with a 51% chance to win. We are not getting any national respect.
 
phxpoke said:
I just noticed on the bottom of ESPN’s scroll. They have Akron with a 51% chance to win. We are not getting any national respect.
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Is there any data as to how accurate the ESPN match up predictor has been historically? I get that the betting line is intended to split the betting public in half. Just looked, and match up predictor, at least now (realizing that the number changes for each game as the season goes along), has the Cowboys as "underdogs" in every game except UNI and Nevada.
 
G6 and especially lower level g6 don't get that serious of an evaluation pre-season. I don't three's value in any prediction for a few weeks. I took the POKES and the points. I think there's too much pessimism surrounding (media and such) the POKES but we'll see tonight.
 
cowpoke pride said:
Is there any data as to how accurate the ESPN match up predictor has been historically? I get that the betting line is intended to split the betting public in half. Just looked, and match up predictor, at least now (realizing that the number changes for each game as the season goes along), has the Cowboys as "underdogs" in every game except UNI and Nevada.
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ESPN's Matchup Predictor uses their FPI (Football Power Index) to come up with those percentages.

For a new season, it is relying entirely on previous seasons' data. Specifically, it uses the previous four seasons but puts significantly more weight on the most recent season. It also heavily emphasizes starting quarterback statistics. To a lesser extent, it factors in returning starters, recruiting ratings, and tenure of the head coach.

As you can see, ESPN's FPI is not going to be very friendly to the Pokes until they can prove them wrong with data. As the season goes on, the FPI gradually puts more weight on this season's stats and less from previous years. Naturally, the predictor gets much more accurate as the season progresses.

I know that there have been some people do a pretty good comparison of the accuracy of pregame odds between Las Vegas and ESPN, and the Las Vegas odds are mildly more accurate.
 
TheRealUW said:
ESPN's Matchup Predictor uses their FPI (Football Power Index) to come up with those percentages.

For a new season, it is relying entirely on previous seasons' data. Specifically, it uses the previous four seasons but puts significantly more weight on the most recent season. It also heavily emphasizes starting quarterback statistics. To a lesser extent, it factors in returning starters, recruiting ratings, and tenure of the head coach.

As you can see, ESPN's FPI is not going to be very friendly to the Pokes until they can prove them wrong with data. As the season goes on, the FPI gradually puts more weight on this season's stats and less from previous years. Naturally, the predictor gets much more accurate as the season progresses.

I know that there have been some people do a pretty good comparison of the accuracy of pregame odds between Las Vegas and ESPN, and the Las Vegas odds are mildly more accurate.
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The great news is that the FPI isn't playing the game tonight. The bad news is that Sawvel is coaching our Pokes tonight.
 
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