Wyo2dal said:
wyopig said:
SDSU is going to lose a handful of games. They'll probably lose to CSU on Saturday. The way we defend (and the way they shoot), we'll definitely have a shot to beat them in San Diego. We have too much of a veteran squad to get rattled by road crowds. Plus, SDSU sucks too bad offensively to win out. People like to think that we suck at offense, but we average 10 percentage points higher than SDSU from the field. They are truly awful, but they're good enough on defense to keep them in every game...just like us.
We lost to SDSU, but we already got that game back on them by winning at Fresno. Our win at CSU is going to be gold. It's going to be tough for anyone to win in Ft. Collins. That will be the win that keeps on giving...although we only need it to really give back this Saturday.
Back to the original question - I'll be disappointed if we fall short of a regular season conference championship and/or an NCAA tournament berth. If we win the regular season conference championship, we will undoubtedly get into the NCAA tournament. If we fall short of the conference championship, we can make up for it in my mind by earning either an automatic or at-large berth to the NCAA's. At that point, let Shyatt go to work. We'll shock the world.
As much as I don't like SDSU I think they are hitting their stride at just the right time and I wouldn't even be remotely surprised if they won out. The Laramie trip should have been their loss, UNLV looks awful and CSU against us was pretty mediocre we had a lot of TO's in that game and let them back into it late.
SDSU is well coached and they are starting to hit an offensive stride that was missing early in the year. TBH I feel like they hit that stride in Laramie, they shot better in the second half which gave them the win along with turnover city by us.
Now I'm not saying they will win out but they have the defensive potential to do it just as much as we do. Difference is they don't have trouble willing in Vegas and the Pit and we do. It will be interesting to see what they do against CSU.
I believe SDSU is 10-4 over the last 14 years in Moby.
I wouldn't say that we have "trouble" winning at UNLV and New Mexico...we just haven't had the talent to get it done the past few years. I wouldn't call either game a slam dunk for Wyoming, but I honestly expect wins in both of them.
The only game that I wouldn't say that I expect Wyoming to win is the game at SDSU, but I wouldn't be shocked if we did either. I can reasonably hope for a win there, and it could very well happen. I'm not necessarily calling for us to win all of our games, but I will go into every game but one absolutely expecting a win.
I'm not going to disagree that SDSU is playing pretty well right now, but just because they've shot well (by their standards) in 2 of their last 3 games, I wouldn't say they have caught their stride. They almost lost at home to a helpless UNLV team. Not saying that we didn't, but people are acting like SDSU is Kentucky. I'm happy they're hot right now, as oftentimes teams get hot for a few games and cool down. Frankly, CSU is hotter than hell right now. They've played bad teams, but they've crushed them like no other.
Here's the biggest reason that I think Wyoming is going to ultimately win the conference: We're the best road team in the MWC because we're the most veteran team in the MWC. We have 2 road wins in conference play already that very few teams will pick up. Maybe nobody else. People forget that after how Fresno played in conference play last year, they were expected to be contenders, or at the very least major spoilers, this year. They didn't do too well in the non-conference portion of their schedule, but they also didn't have Guerreo. They're certainly fulfilling expectations since conference play started.
