Saturday's point spread picks

[bladerunnr]

Fellow Pokes:

I'm headed to Vegas for the weekend so I will miss the Boise st. game but I will be at the Border war.

Here's what I'm looking at:

Boise st. -16.5 vs UW - after our horrid performance last week, I'm starting to think we are going to mail in the rest of the season. Hate to say it - but I would be shocked if we covered.

Nebraska -2 vs. Michigan - Nebraska is pretty good at home and Michigan has hardly been overpowering this year

Oregon st. -4 at washington - I'm thinking Oregon st. is really good and will continue to roll

Bonus game:

Oregon -46 vs. CU - hard to lay 46 but Oregon can score at will and CU can't stop anyone. Oh, and CU lost to csewe.
Nuff said.

 

[hithere]

I like Florida, USC and Kansas State ML's.

 

[stymeman]

I think we'll cover, and we'll see how Brett bounces back, he was truly rusty last week and it showed. Let's get it done Pokes

 

[bladerunnr]

I like Florida, USC and Kansas State ML's.

Speaking of money lines, CU is +60,000 on the moneyline. Oregon is -180,000. That is the biggest moneyline I've ever seen. A hundred on CU makes you 60k if they win. That's powerball kind of stuff.

 

[seattlecowboy]

Well that TCU pick I had last week I ended up pushing on as I got them at +3. Sorry if you lost with it. I should have waited before telling you guys to take it as I only bet numbers. I don't bet teams. A lot of money came back in on TCU right before the game which would have made it a no play based on how I wager.


Two games I'm playing this week are Auburn +14.5. This will for sure be a play.

Also in the NFL I will be on Dallas +2.5. I'm going to wait and see if I can get it at +3 but it will for sure be a play as well.

Good Luck in Vegas Blade and good luck to everyone else!

 

[hithere]

Well that TCU pick I had last week I ended up pushing on as I got them at +3. Sorry if you lost with it. I should have waited before telling you guys to take it as I only bet numbers. I don't bet teams. A lot of money came back in on TCU right before the game which would have made it a no play based on how I wager.


Two games I'm playing this week are Auburn +14.5. This will for sure be a play.

Also in the NFL I will be on Dallas +2.5. I'm going to wait and see if I can get it at +3 but it will for sure be a play as well.

Good Luck in Vegas Blade and good luck to everyone else!

The entertainment value on that TCU game alone was worth every unit wagered; what a great finish that was.

What do you mean numbers only, do you not handicap at all? Just base any wagering on opening line and then movement?

 

[seattlecowboy]

Well that TCU pick I had last week I ended up pushing on as I got them at +3. Sorry if you lost with it. I should have waited before telling you guys to take it as I only bet numbers. I don't bet teams. A lot of money came back in on TCU right before the game which would have made it a no play based on how I wager.


Two games I'm playing this week are Auburn +14.5. This will for sure be a play.

Also in the NFL I will be on Dallas +2.5. I'm going to wait and see if I can get it at +3 but it will for sure be a play as well.

Good Luck in Vegas Blade and good luck to everyone else!

The entertainment value on that TCU game alone was worth every unit wagered; what a great finish that was.

What do you mean numbers only, do you not handicap at all? Just base any wagering on opening line and then movement?

Hey hithere,

How's it going buddy?

I handicap some but I don't really need to anymore because I figured out a way to win around 65% of the time just based on how much money is being placed on the games and so my biggest plays are on those specific games. Sometimes I will handicap other games and take games in certain situational spots. I've been doing this for 20 years and have seen everything under the sun on different ways to handicap and different systems.
The professionals handicappers don't bet teams they bet numbers. It's all about line movement and it depends on how much line movement. If a line moves 4 points or more one way you want to be on the opposite side of the line move.

Watch the line on that NY Giants/ Dallas game this weekend. It opened with Dallas as a -2 point favorite and has got bet all the way to NY Giants favored by -2 or -2.5 now. If that line stays at atleast Dallas +2 or higher than you want to be on Dallas because that means there is a very high chance Dallas is going to win the game outright. I would check it about 30 minutes before the game and make sure it is still hovering up there. I can almost guarantee it will be.

The Texas A&M and Auburn line opened with Texas A&M favored by 9 and it is all the way up to +14.5 now. So you're getting Auburn at home getting over 2 TD's with A&M coming off of that LSU game last week. Lots of money on Texas A&M.

Those are the 2 plays i'll be on. You don't have to play them but just watch and see where the line closes on those games and then watch and see who covers.

It doesn't work 100% of the time because nothing does but if you "flat" bet and just play these type of games all year you will make a ton of cash.

Hope you win lots of cash this weekend buddy!

Good luck! :thumb: