And this is only the beginning. The state isn't even close yet to feeling the full impact of the downturn.
This isn't a conspiracy theory, this is just the way things are. Wyoming's budget lags about three years behind commodity prices. Because of the complexity of the state's mineral tax code, the final tax bills from energy companies oftentimes aren't settled for three years or more (I could fill pages on the audit process and why this is). But basically, much of the actual hard dollars coming into the state and counties right now through severance taxes from oil and gas are based on production a couple years ago.
Worse than that is that oil production in the state is actually up about 17% over last year despite depressed prices and the lack of new drilling. Efficiency has simply gotten too good in a lot of cases. Many of the wells in the state begin to decline after a few years, meaning about three years from now we're going to see all of this current production out of wells already completed slow down. That will be compounded by the fact that there is almost no drilling activity happening this year and next.
The state's economists are well aware of this, as are policymakers. Numbers being talked about around the capitol go so far as saying there might be a short fall in the 18-19 budget cycle of up to a third of the state's budget. And it could get worse than that.
So basically, state support for everything is going to go down over the next few years, athletics included. And no elected official is going to vote to spend dollars on athletics a few years down the road if the state is also talking about reductions in jobs.