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my yearly optimistic football post

carbonpoke

Well-known member
alrighty then!

I want to reflect back for a second to the joe glenn years. smash mouth, great defense, devin moore... on the other hand, what led to his dismissal; diminishing returns, horrible conference record, bad quarterback play, and lastly and most importantly turnovers.

the system works in Laramie, but its has to be based around specific principles. Limit or eliminate turnovers, keep time of possession, and have depth.

I like where we are headed. I think this defense will be a "NASTY" 2001 Baltimore ravens style defense if we can stay healthy and fresh (time-o-possession). mertens wore down last season, but against Nebraska he looked like a pro playing against highschool kids.

Im a little worried about linebacker play. I don't know if the change in coaching staff and philosophy will lead to more three and outs, but the linebackers have to play to a higher standard. More tackles at the line of scrimmage instead of three to four yards past the line of scrimmage.

we are lucky in the fact that we have two outside linebackers on the roster that can run and cover. nzeocha and wacha. we have to remember that in the football landscape we can scheme to play a 4-3 all we want; but if a team like fresno splits 3-4 receivers each play...? you either have to run a nickel package, or have a linebacker that can cover. no matter, as running the spread thins out base defenses pre snap. the middle of the field always loosens up to properly cover man for man. we will see this abundantly. the key to us keeping time of possession and maintaining a lead against spread offenses will be pressure from the front four and tight coverage from the secondary for 3-4 seconds. good pressure and bump and run coverage to get into 3rd and long situations. we have to force more punts this year.

I also believe that our oline will surprise this year. switching to a run blocking scheme is fairly easy in transition; as long as the terminology and playbook lingo are easily learned. in christensens offense, we had big splits and ran zone blocking. once teams exposed our vulnerability to flooding an area of the line with pressure, we were screwed. this year teams will have to risk more by overcrowding areas of the line of scrimmage. I want to remind people of dennis franchione's double stack over our tackles in last years texas state game. pure awesome if you are a football purist from texas... absolute hell if you are like me.

again, I think that our line will improve this year. shortening the splits, and creating offensive overloads at the point of attack; that is what we will see this year... AND A FULL BACK. SWEET!

underlying all this is the fear of injury. we need to stay healthy, and I agree with j-rod that there are certain positions that we have huge question marks if we get hurt.

I will add, in my experience with football, and in the army... injury rates have a direct correlation to conditioning. AND, ive noticed that teams that run smash mouth football cause more injuries than they receive.

anyways fellas... I wholeheartedly expect to see "cowboy tough" return. I am working nights and weekends with my new job... FML! gonna have to record many games this year. ahh well... what can you do?
 
underlying all this is the fear of injury. we need to stay healthy, and I agree with j-rod that there are certain positions that we have huge question marks if we get hurt.

I will add, in my experience with football, and in the army... injury rates have a direct correlation to conditioning. AND, ive noticed that teams that run smash mouth football cause more injuries than they receive.

Injury rates definitely correlate to conditioning (I've experienced this myself too the last few years going back into something as lame as semi-competitive soccer while out of shape), and it appears we will be better conditioned than ever for this season. However. Freak injuries always happen as well, and if certain key linemen (both sides of the football) go down that way, we're in trouble.

I do think we have solid depth otherwise, though. We have more talented receivers than we can use - and some with the kind of size that gives a bad throw a chance to be a completion. If TE Krill can learn to catch the ball, we have two 6'6 towers between him and WR Maulhardt.

Our runningbacks managed to get the job done quite well even when the O-line was mediocre - and now they're hopefully in a place where they won't have to avoid contact in the backfield as much. I'm hoping for a monster year from both Wick and May - and hell, I wouldn't be surprised to see a few big plays from Stover and Nevermann as well.

I have pretty high hopes for our linebacker corps as well. Stanton was pretty consistent on a terrible defense a year ago, and though I hope to God he won't have to make nearly as many tackles this season, it's good to know he's there. I also like that he's got an eye for breaking up pass plays, and good enough hands to haul in an errant pass or two. Stanton is one kid I wouldn't be that surprised to see drafted next year. I'm pretty confident that Harris will play well too. He's got experience and doesn't make too many mistakes - something somebody like Wacha will hopefully take after. Wacha's got the highlight reel plays, but he needs consistency and improved tackling. He was fun to watch as a freshman, and I hope he's put on weight and improved strength AND speed in the offseason, as he was already surprisingly quick. I can see this guy getting a few sacks this year...

The group I'm the most excited about is our d-line, though. I'm expecting a monster year from Mertens, Yarbrough, Appleby, Olive, Puletasi, and Hala'api'api. Seems like they've all made good progress in the weight room, and I'm excited to see how this will translate to the field. Appleby is up almost 30 lbs (to 289) from his old listing, which should help him immensely.
 
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