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Key to the game on Tuesday?

Cowboy Junky

Cowboy Junky

Well-known member
It's going to be similar to CSU. They also play a lot of four guard sets and have depth issues.

We need to attack the paint every chance we get. SDSU has depth issues, they're at altitude, and they can't afford to get into foul trouble. If we can get the ball down low and force them to foul, we can beat them at the free throw line.

Defensively, we really need to keep in our defensive rotations. SDSU has a lot of very good shooters. If we get out of position and can't rotate over to help, we'll get picked apart.

SDSU has to be the favorites in this one, but I think our strategy will be to feed the post all night and try to draw fouls.
 
Pokes will need a nearly perfect game to pull this off, but I think they can do it. They need to play hard, not have any let-down after the CSU game. Limit the mistakes. SDSU is fast and and can get steals if our passes get sloppy. Need to keep Adam and Leonard out of foul trouble. Finally, we really need Martinez to hit those 3's.
 
If Martinez hits shots and washington plays even 75% like he did against CSU while Luster maintains his D, we will win. We haven't had a complete game yet and that's scary. If everyone has a good game we win. Luckily, we've had guys will us to a win when some part of our game isn't going well. CSU was as close to a complete game I've seen from these guys, imagine that with Martinez's three's going down!
 
A big key is knocking in a couple three's early, whether it's Luke or Paco or even Leonard banking in another one. That really forced CSU to extend their defense out and created great spacing for our ball screens.

If we make some early shots and Washington and Waddell can hang in there on the boards we should have a close game down to the last few minutes.

By the by, has anyone seen a line yet?
 
and have depth issues
Click to expand...

It appears that they have much better depth at the two post positions than CSU did. Looking at their roster, they match W & W inch-for-inch and pound-for-pound fairly well and have another player off the bench that gets minutes, rebounds and points that is built about like Washington.
 
The first 3 minutes of this game and the last 3 minutes of this game will be key. If we can stay with them or get ahead of them the first 3 minutes into the game, that puts a lot of pressure on SDSU. The last 3 minutes we need to pressure them because their legs will be tired. I'm betting Fisher's plan is to try to run hard and pressure D the first 3 minutes to try to build up a lead and take us out of our game and try to get us to throw up wild threes. If we hit the boards like we did against CSU, that will really help.
 
Rebounding. The Pokes aren't a great rebounding team overall and SDSU's length and quickness will really present a challenge for us.

The performance against CSU was nice, but CSU was overmatched in the front court. SDSU won't have that problem.

Can't give a team with SDSU's weapons extra possessions.
 
TheCup said:
A big key is knocking in a couple three's early, whether it's Luke or Paco or even Leonard banking in another one. That really forced CSU to extend their defense out and created great spacing for our ball screens.

If we make some early shots and Washington and Waddell can hang in there on the boards we should have a close game down to the last few minutes.

By the by, has anyone seen a line yet?
Click to expand...

It looks like it opened with UW as a 1 point fav, then moved to make SDSU a 1 point fav. This is a real close line. Here is the link:

http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-basketball/odds/las-vegas/line-movement/[email protected]/date/1-24-12/time/2030#BT
 
Martinez has been in a real slump. He was 1-9 from 3 saturday. We need him and Cruz to hit a decent percentage as I'm guessing Washington is going to get double teamed every time he touches the ball.

Second big key is to control the boards- that is- keep SDS to one shot.
 
I'll admit to not having seen SDSU play much this year. In this kind of game the best thing you can hope for is to just keep it within 5-6 points going in to the last 5-6 minutes and then hit a couple shots and get a couple stops.

WYO can really ill-afford to fall behind by double digits.
 
WYCowboy said:
TheCup said:
A big key is knocking in a couple three's early, whether it's Luke or Paco or even Leonard banking in another one. That really forced CSU to extend their defense out and created great spacing for our ball screens.

If we make some early shots and Washington and Waddell can hang in there on the boards we should have a close game down to the last few minutes.

By the by, has anyone seen a line yet?
Click to expand...

It looks like it opened with UW as a 1 point fav, then moved to make SDSU a 1 point fav. This is a real close line. Here is the link:

http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-basketball/odds/las-vegas/line-movement/[email protected]/date/1-24-12/time/2030#BT
Click to expand...
looks like we're -2 now....yippie
 
ESPN Insider has an accuscore program where they run more than 10,000 computer simulations of games.

The score projections are 67.1 for UW vs. 61.9 for SDSU and that UW won 67.3 percent of their simulated games vs. 32.7 for SDSU.

Here's the link, not sure if it will work if you're not registered with ESPN's Insider program.

http://insider.espn.go.com/ncb/pickcenter?gameid=320242751
 
Cheywypoke said:
ESPN Insider has an accuscore program where they run more than 10,000 computer simulations of games.

The score projections are 67.1 for UW vs. 61.9 for SDSU and that UW won 67.3 percent of their simulated games vs. 32.7 for SDSU.

Here's the link, not sure if it will work if you're not registered with ESPN's Insider program.

http://insider.espn.go.com/ncb/pickcenter?gameid=320242751
Click to expand...

They have beat both UNLV and New Mexico already. At the end of the day, we have to stay out of foul trouble, get more than our fair share of rebounds and 50/50 plays and hit the good, open looks.

I think I fear our exposure to foul trouble more than anything in this game.
 
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