seattlecowboy said:
I am not so sure I like Granberry after looking at some of his numbers in games he has played. All he does is shoot the 3 ball. He might make one 2 point shot a game and sometimes none.
He looks like he is probably a streaky shooter with more bad games than good games. I saw multiple games against (good competition) which was out of conference competition in which he shot like 2-12 or 1-10 or 2-13 from the 3 point line. The teams he was playing against would be teams that would be like a top 40 type team that he would see in the MWC. I didn't look at his conference games as much because the competition isn't quite as good. He must have had his better games against his conference foes.
I thought at first he may be a good pick up but after breaking down his stats in more detail he looks to just be someone who shoots LOTS of 3's and doesn't seem to hit a very high percentage of them against the type of competition he will see in the MWC.
Now on the flip side I would think Wyoming probably has better players than most of the teams in the A-Sun so that might open up better opportunities for him to get a good look or a good shot up. He is also a senior so he could help provide leadership. He also could prove me wrong and start shooting better against better competition this next year if we do get him. Just basing it off of his past against decent competition though all we will be getting is a guy that likes to chuck up shots and we have to hope he is having a good game or he will shoot us out of it.
I saw those stats as well and they did concern me, but consider the following comparison of players in their junior seasons:
1. Player A: 11.8 ppg, 37.7% FG (116/308), 33.5 3FG% (81/242), 80% FT (64/80), eFG%= 50.8%, True Shooting%=54.5%
2. Player B: 10.9 ppg, 37.5% FG (98/261), 39.4% 3FG% (76/193), 74.4% FT (67/90), eFG% = 52.1%, TS% = 55.8%
Now, granted the first player played against a tougher schedule (RPI SOS rank of 96 compared to 190 for Player B), so that needs to be taken into account. However, to me they stack up pretty well. Player A took 78.5% of their attempts from beyond the arc and Player B took 74% of their attempts behind the arc. Player B got to the line a little more often, but wasn't as efficient at the line.
Obviously Player B is Granberry and Player A is Luke Martinez. Not trying to say that Granberry is as good as Luke. In addition to the SOS, Luke had a far greater statistical impact on defense (higher steal and rebound rate). However, as a 5th year senior with good size for the position, I think Granberry could really fill that role of perimeter shooter for the Pokes next year. If he comes to UW his primary competition will be Nate Sobey. A little tough to compare Sobey's numbers in his Junior season to the other two because he saw less playing time, but his shooting numbers are in the same ballpark as the other two (57.2% TS) with rebound and steal rate numbers comparable to Granberry but below Luke and a turnover rate significantly higher than the other two. Obviously Sobey played a relatively large amount of minutes against tough competition as well.
Anyway, I think Granberry would be a solid addition and set up the scholarship matrix in a more advantageous fashion. I could see a 5 man perimeter rotation of Grabau, Adams, Hankerson, Granberry, and Sobey next year with all 5 seeing significant time.