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Finally, we are a favorite in a game!

B

bladerunnr

Well-known member
After 3 straight weeks of being a double digit underdog, we are -24 v. new mexico. We have covered every game since the utah state debacle and I think this week will be no exception.

God knows, I don't want to hear even one time: "everyone's a lobo - woof, woof, woof."
 
As long as they don't overlook Lobos, I'll be happy. I think the best thing that could have happened was that Lobos won on Saturday. It'll make them realize they'll have to actually execute and take the game seriously.
 
It's a trap game. I like being the dogs. I think they come out playing with a chip on their shoulders. I hope they don't come out thinking this is a gimme like last year and find themselves in a lobo fight ;)
 
New mexico shot their load in that epic pillow fight with unlv. They've got their 1 win. Now they can resume losing by 40-50 points.

We shouldn't take this game lightly. But we are at home and have vastly superior talent to new mexico. DC said that the NM game last year was his low point as a Wyo. coach. I don't think we will be under prepared.
 
Bladerunnr, are you looking at any other games? Might do a regular parlay this week for the hell of it. I think Tennessee and Washington State look interesting as home underdogs. Also looking at NC State and Arizona. Maybe Oklahoma and Washington to cover as well.

I have been unbelievably bad at regular parlays but I figure when teams are scrapping for bowl eligibility to go along with a few big rivalry games, more incentive may be in place.
 
Hithere,

I keep looking at the teams that have made me money this year. K-state is getting 8 at texas. I actually think the linemakers have the wrong favorite. I will look to bet k-state on the moneyline.

I've been staying away from CU lately but I think they will get blasted at UCLA. CU only getting 10 on the road? Seems almost too easy. Finally, I think Oregon will cover the 14 at home against Southern Cal.

Wyoming has been my best bet lately. However, I may stay away from this game as the weather looks crappy. With the indoor facility, do we really have a cold field advantage anymore?

Regarding your games: just a few thoughts. Any team that loses to CU is a lost cause so I would stay away from Arizona. I like your Oklahoma play. That number looks way too low. Sorry, I don't have an opinion on the other games.
 
bladerunnr said:
Wyoming has been my best bet lately. However, I may stay away from this game as the weather looks crappy. With the indoor facility, do we really have a cold field advantage anymore?
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They don't really use the indoor facility unless they have to. For the TCU game, they practiced outdoors all week.
 
bladerunnr said:
I keep looking at the teams that have made me money this year. K-state is getting 8 at texas. I actually think the linemakers have the wrong favorite. I will look to bet k-state on the moneyline.

I've been staying away from CU lately but I think they will get blasted at UCLA. CU only getting 10 on the road? Seems almost too easy. Finally, I think Oregon will cover the 14 at home against Southern Cal.

Wyoming has been my best bet lately. However, I may stay away from this game as the weather looks crappy. With the indoor facility, do we really have a cold field advantage anymore?

Regarding your games: just a few thoughts. Any team that loses to CU is a lost cause so I would stay away from Arizona. I like your Oklahoma play. That number looks way too low. Sorry, I don't have an opinion on the other games.
Click to expand...


I read something on twitter recently about "Regression to the Mean" happening now. It sure seems like the last two weeks, that's been the case. My thoughts on your thoughts:

Texas. 5 points? How? Fozzy was that much of Harsin/Applewhites's gameplan? I guess so.
CU. Embree and players talking major shit publicly about winning. UCLA needs one more win for (probable) bowl eligibility. I agree UCLA wins.
Oregon wins. I read where Woods may be out for USC. Then where he's probable. I don't think it matters.
Wyoming. I would argue that over the last 11 years, Wyoming never had a cold field advantage to begin with. Not touching this game.
Arizona and Arizona State is a pretty big rivalry. I'd agree on your CU thoughts and state that any team that loses to Washington State is a lost cause so that's my angle on Arizona covering.

Picking spreads isn't something I do well but I'm sending a canoe to sink a battleship this week.
 
Hithere,

This is the toughest time of year to bet. I usually scale back now. Some teams have lost motivation. You never know who's playing hurt. And, let's face it, teams don't play at the same level every week. How Arizona st. loses to Washington st., I don't know. The easy lines are early in the year.

But certain trends are hard to bet against. CU hasn't won a road game since 2007. So I will bet against them and lay the 10 until they prove me wrong. K-state has been an underdog in almost every game this year, except for kansas and maybe another game. They are 8-2, losing only to Oklahoma and a nail biter to Ok st..

My final comment: Look hard at the csewe - tcu game. I'm very tempted to lay the 33 pts. csewe laid down their last 2 games last year. I think they are about to do it again. Fans, what few there are, are calling for Fairchild's head. If they lose out (tcu, air force, us), it will be their 3d straight 3-9 season. Down here, they are calling Fairchild "Locksley without the baggage". Ouch!
 
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